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Understanding behavioral finance, behavioral finance concepts.
Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and behavioral finance. Adam received his master's in economics from The New School for Social Research and his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison in sociology. He is a CFA charterholder as well as holding FINRA Series 7, 55 & 63 licenses. He currently researches and teaches economic sociology and the social studies of finance at the Hebrew University in Jerusalem.
Yarilet Perez is an experienced multimedia journalist and fact-checker with a Master of Science in Journalism. She has worked in multiple cities covering breaking news, politics, education, and more. Her expertise is in personal finance and investing, and real estate.
Behavioral finance, a subfield of behavioral economics , proposes that psychological influences and biases affect the financial behaviors of investors and financial practitioners. Moreover, influences and biases can be the source for the explanation of all types of market anomalies and specifically market anomalies in the stock market, such as severe rises or falls in stock price. As behavioral finance is such an integral part of investing, the Securities and Exchange Commission has staff specifically focused on behavioral finance.
Behavioral finance can be analyzed from a variety of perspectives. Stock market returns are one area of finance where psychological behaviors are often assumed to influence market outcomes and returns but there are also many different angles for observation. The purpose of the classification of behavioral finance is to help understand why people make certain financial choices and how those choices can affect markets.
Within behavioral finance, it is assumed that financial participants are not perfectly rational and self-controlled but rather psychologically influential with somewhat normal and self-controlling tendencies. Financial decision-making often relies on the investor's mental and physical health. As an investor's overall health improves or worsens, their mental state often changes. This impacts their decision-making and rationality towards all real-world problems, including those specific to finance.
One of the key aspects of behavioral finance studies is the influence of biases. Biases can occur for a variety of reasons. Biases can usually be classified into one of five key concepts. Understanding and classifying different types of behavioral finance biases can be very important when narrowing in on the study or analysis of industry or sector outcomes and results.
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Behavioral finance typically encompasses five main concepts:
Behavioral finance is exploited through credit card rewards, as consumers are more likely to be willing to spend points, rewards, or miles as opposed to paying for transactions with direct cash.
Breaking down biases further, many individual biases and tendencies have been identified for behavioral finance analysis. Some of these include:
Confirmation bias is when investors have a bias toward accepting information that confirms their already-held belief in an investment. If information surfaces, investors accept it readily to confirm that they're correct about their investment decision—even if the information is flawed.
An experiential bias occurs when investors' memory of recent events makes them biased or leads them to believe that the event is far more likely to occur again. For this reason, it is also known as recency bias or availability bias.
For example, the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009 led many investors to exit the stock market. Many had a dismal view of the markets and likely expected more economic hardship in the coming years. The experience of having gone through such a negative event increased their bias or likelihood that the event could reoccur. In reality, the economy recovered, and the market bounced back in the years to follow.
Loss aversion occurs when investors place a greater weighting on the concern for losses than the pleasure from market gains. In other words, they're far more likely to try to assign a higher priority to avoiding losses than making investment gains.
As a result, some investors might want a higher payout to compensate for losses. If the high payout isn't likely, they might try to avoid losses altogether even if the investment's risk is acceptable from a rational standpoint.
Applying loss aversion to investing, the so-called disposition effect occurs when investors sell their winners and hang onto their losers. Investors' thinking is that they want to realize gains quickly. However, when an investment is losing money, they'll hold onto it because they want to get back to even or their initial price. Investors tend to admit they are correct about an investment quickly (when there's a gain).
However, investors are reluctant to admit when they made an investment mistake (when there's a loss). The flaw in disposition bias is that the performance of the investment is often tied to the entry price for the investor. In other words, investors gauge the performance of their investment based on their individual entry price disregarding fundamentals or attributes of the investment that may have changed.
The familiarity bias is when investors tend to invest in what they know , such as domestic companies or locally owned investments. As a result, investors are not diversified across multiple sectors and types of investments, which can reduce risk. Investors tend to go with investments that they have a history or have familiarity with.
Familiarity bias can occur in so many ways. You may resist investing in a specific company because of what industry it is in, where it operates, what products it sells, who oversees the management of the company, who its clientele base is, how it performs its marketing, and how complex its accounting is.
The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that at any given time in a highly liquid market , stock prices are efficiently valued to reflect all the available information. However, many studies have documented long-term historical phenomena in securities markets that contradict the efficient market hypothesis and cannot be captured plausibly in models based on perfect investor rationality.
The EMH is generally based on the belief that market participants view stock prices rationally based on all current and future intrinsic and external factors. When studying the stock market, behavioral finance takes the view that markets are not fully efficient. This allows for the observation of how psychological and social factors can influence the buying and selling of stocks.
The understanding and usage of behavioral finance biases can be applied to stock and other trading market movements on a daily basis. Broadly, behavioral finance theories have also been used to provide clearer explanations of substantial market anomalies like bubbles and deep recessions. While not a part of EMH, investors and portfolio managers have a vested interest in understanding behavioral finance trends. These trends can be used to help analyze market price levels and fluctuations for speculation as well as decision-making purposes.
Behavioral finance helps us understand how financial decisions around things like investments, payments, risk, and personal debt, are greatly influenced by human emotion, biases, and cognitive limitations of the mind in processing and responding to information.
Mainstream theory, on the other hand, makes the assumptions in its models that people are rational actors, that they are free from emotion or the effects of culture and social relations, and that people are self-interested utility maximizers. It also assumes, by extension, that markets are efficient and firms are rational profit-maximizing organizations. Behavioral finance counters each of these assumptions.
By understanding how and when people deviate from rational expectations, behavioral finance provides a blueprint to help us make better, more rational decisions when it comes to financial matters.
Investors are found to systematically hold on to losing investments far too long than rational expectations would predict, and they also sell winners too early. This is known as the disposition effect, and is an extension of the concept of loss aversion to the domain of investing. Rather than locking in a paper loss, investors holding lose positions may even double down and take on greater risk in hopes of breaking even.
Behavioral finance is an area of economics that fuses with psychology. It ascribes the often irrational behavior of individuals when faced with financial choices to a variety of biases and heuristics. Often, individuals are unaware of the underlying biases at work that can underlie bad decision-making. A study of this area of finance is essential to anyone who wants to master the art of trading and investing.
Steff Chávez in Washington
This is an on-site version of the US Election Countdown newsletter. You can read the previous edition here . Sign up for free here to get it on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Email us at [email protected]
Good morning and welcome to US Election Countdown. Today let’s discuss:
Republicans’ frustration with the Trump campaign
Conservative superstar lawyer Eugene Scalia
Petrol prices and energy sector angst
Some Republicans, including strategists and donors, are growing irritated with how Donald Trump is approaching his campaign to win back the White House [free to read].
They’re not panicking about Trump’s election prospects — Republican strategist John Feehery told me Kamala Harris would have to be up 7 percentage points in national polls for real fright to set in — but they’re anxious about his inability to find effective attack lines. They’re also unamused by what they see as overly fawning media coverage of Harris’s campaign.
As Republican strategist Kevin Madden told me:
The dominant mood among Republicans, based on the last month, has been one of frustration . . . her campaign has been allowed to coast for a month and get a free pass. The best time to define her was right out of the gate. Trump has signalled he’s going to get back on offence and try to do more to define Harris, so we’ll see if Republicans start to execute a more co-ordinated campaign and get some momentum back.
Feehery added that Republicans are “nervous” as they face the reality that it will be a “very tough” and “very close” race while their candidate struggles to stay disciplined on messaging.
The election is no longer the slam dunk Trump and his party were anticipating when they were running against Joe Biden. Harris is up 3.7 percentage points nationally , according to the FT’s polling average. Trump, however, had a 3.2 percentage point lead over Biden before he dropped out, according to FiveThirtyEight.
“If [Trump] continues down this path, he’ll lose,” said Eric Levine, a New York bankruptcy lawyer and a prominent donor to Senate Republicans. “The only way you’re going to get those voters who are going to Harris . . . is to change strategy”.
But some party donors and operatives close to Trump are still upbeat. They’re betting that the race will shift back the former president’s way as Harris faces scrutiny on policy issues such as the economy and immigration — especially as the September 10 debate nears.
“We really haven’t had a conversation about the direction of the country. We’ve had a conversation about the reset of the Democratic party. And Harris’s support is nowhere near the level of Biden support in 2020,” said former Trump-aide-turned-lobbyist Bryan Lanza.
Harris, alongside running mate Tim Walz, will sit for her first interview since becoming the Democratic candidate. It airs at 9pm Eastern time. (CNN)
China is struggling to get meetings with members of Trump’s camp. [Free to read]
Harris will end a two-day campaign swing through Georgia today as she tries to keep the battleground state in play . (The Washington Post)
US prosecutors have filed a revised criminal indictment against Trump in the federal 2020 election interference case.
Trump has appointed fringe ex-Democrats Robert F Kennedy Jr and Tulsi Gabbard as honorary co-chairs of his presidential transition team.
Conservative law has an anti-regulatory superstar with a familiar name: Scalia .
Eugene Scalia, son of former US Supreme Court justice Antonin Scalia, has been on a successful crusade to foil the Biden administration’s efforts to rein in big business.
In recent months, his legal arguments have dented climate disclosure rules, regulations for private funds and the Federal Trade Commission’s ban on non-compete agreements, which can make it tricky for people to switch jobs.
Scalia told the FT’s Stefania Palma and Brooke Masters:
I love the principles and ideas that [this] country was founded on, and those include a government that is respectful of liberty. When government intrudes on rights, treats people unfairly and claims power the people never gave it, I find it rewarding to call that out. Challenging that sort of government behaviour is a way of furthering American values.
Trump said he wants to resume the light-touch regulation that featured in his first term in the White House. On the Democratic side, it’s anyone’s guess whether Harris will follow in Biden’s footsteps with aggressive policies on financial regulation and competition.
But as Brooke argues , Harris would be “squeezed by aggressive industry litigation and hostile judges”. Scalia would certainly fan those flames.
Petrol prices — a critical political issue for incumbent candidates — are going Harris’s way.
With less than 10 weeks to go until election day, drivers are paying about $3.35 per gallon at the pump, according to the American Automobile Association.
That’s still higher than when Biden took office and the average during Trump’s presidency, but, as the FT’s Myles McCormick has pointed out, prices are at their lowest level since March and they look like they’ll keep going down. (FT Premium subscribers can click here to sign up for our Energy Source newsletter .)
The sector itself, however, is likely getting antsy about Harris’s plans.
US oil and gas companies will want Harris to put forth her energy and climate policies amid worries that she’ll further restrict fossil fuel development.
Why has she stayed quiet on energy and climate so far?
“It looks like the Harris campaign has concluded that it’s safer to avoid antagonising producers or climate activists by skirting these issues entirely,” Kevin Book, managing director of Clearview Energy Partners, told the FT’s Jamie Smyth.
While Harris needs the support of young voters in the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, she doesn’t want to risk alienating its oil and gas producers, which have a powerful lobby.
Ahead of Harris’s first interview, Ed Luce takes a look at why she has been reluctant to speak to the press — and why that is a disservice to voters.
Elaine Godfrey joined a “Swifties for Kamala” call as Democrats try to harness Taylor Swift’s devoted fan base and put it to political use. (The Atlantic)
Jon Allsop explores the definition of “ election interference ”, which seems to be everywhere these days. (The New Yorker)
One thing Janan Ganesh thinks Biden got right: managing the decline of the US’s power .
Join us on September 7 in London and online for the annual FT Weekend Festival. And don’t miss US national editor and columnist Edward Luce and chief foreign affairs commentator Gideon Rachman’s session: America and the world. As a US Election Countdown reader you can take advantage of our special promo code Newsletters24. Register here.
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Rahmatullah Pashtoon I Declaration of Authorship ) hereby declare that the thesis titled Behavioral Finance and its Impact on Portfolio Investment Decisions - Evidence: India is a bona fide record of the dissertation work carried out by me and submitted to Savithribai Phule Pune University in partial fulfillment of the requirement for Degree ...
Submission of Thesis and Dissertation National College of Ireland Research Students Declaration Form (Thesis/Author Declaration Form) Name: Bogunjoko Atinuke Student Number: 19221584 Degree for which thesis is submitted: Masters in Finance Title of Thesis: Impact of Behavioural Finance on Investment decisions - An
havior that can lead to irrational decision-making and market inefficiencies.In behavioral finance, the focus shifts from the traditional "efficient market hypothesis" to understanding how individuals and marke. participants behave and make decisions in real-world financial environments. It acknowledges that investors are subject to various ...
Much of the financial literature focuses on the decisions of auditors and managers and the behavior of investors in negotiation decisions, leading to the publication of a large number of experimental studies in the 1960s and 1970s (Libby et al., 2002).Moreover, the instruments of the experimental method—the ability to observe directly, control, and manipulate variables—are adequate for the ...
improve the experience. As such, the present thesis proposes the introduction of Behavioral Finance into modern fintechs as a provider of an enhanced customer engagement and increased value. The behavioral finance tool is described as an abstract algorithm, based on the concepts and methodologies of the subject, then tested via a two-part survey.
Master thesis, one-year, 15 hp . Page | i This research would not have been possible without the valuable contribution of many people. We would like to take this chance to express our great gratitude for their ... Behavioral Finance: Theories, which are based on the psychology, attempt to understand how emotions and cognitive errors influence ...
Behavioral finance micro examines behavior or biases of investors and behavioral finance macro describe anomalies in the efficient market. ... Master's Thesis in Finance, School of Economics and Management, Lund University. ... His Book, Pub: Wiley. Pp. 2-4. 45. Mounika (2017). Relevance of Behavioral Finance in Investment Decisions. A ...
The existing academic literature has tended to develop behavioral finance against the "foil" of traditional rational finance. But a number of authors (e.g., Statman 1999a; Thaler 1999) make the case for the "end of behavioral finance," arguing that because all financial th eory requires some assumptions about investor behavior,
Behavioral finance is the application of psychology to finance, dedicated to explaining anomalies in the financial market based on research and ... simulates investor behavior and reports widespread explanations of deviations in the market from forecasts based on the assumption of its efficiency. Following the work of Scott et al. (1972), Peel ...
CISIONS OF INVESTORS IN AHMEDABADProf.Devrshi Upadhyay Dr.Paresh Sha. Assistant Professor, FCMA.,Ph.D.(Finance), Alumnus of IIM, Ahmedabad. Professor - (Department of Research Scholar Commerce)Rai University, Ahmedabad Rai Business Schoo. gement Teacher and Researcher Rai University, Saroda.Ahemdabad.382260ABSTRACT: Behavioral financing is an ...
How psychological factors can influence the stock market. Cindy Alejandra Idárraga Calderón. s a BS degree in BusinessAdvisor: dr. Hersir Sigurgeirsson, associate profes. orFaculty of BusinessUniversity of Iceland, School of Social Sciences May 2018 Behavioral Finance.This thesis is a 6 ECTS credit final assignm.
1. Introduction. The traditional finance theory assumes that investors always make rational decisions based on complete information, but behavioral finance argues that investors are influenced by their emotions, biases, and cognitive limitations (Almansour & Arabyat, Citation 2017).The debate between modern finance theory and behavioral finance theory on the influence of non-financial factors ...
Behavioural finance is a part of money that deals into the mental and emotional elements impacting investment choices, testing the normal suspicion that market members generally act judiciously. As opposed to the effective market investment, which places that costs mirror all suitable data in financing generally pursue judicious ...
Behavioral Finance is an emerging field that combines the understanding of behavioural and cognitive psychology with financial decision making process. It is the fastest growing area in the field ...
Behavioural Finance, however, offers more realistic assumptions based on two building blocks; behavioural biases of irrational investors and the limits of arbitrage that prevent the arbitrageurs from correcting mispricing and pushing prices back to fundamental values. This dissertation is structured as follows:
hypothesis that gender differences are associated with a difference in decision strategy. because females tend to have lower risk preferences than males when tasks are framed in. terms of losses instead of gains, when tasks are familiar, and when costs associated with. decisions or levels of ambiguity are high (610).
Behavioural finance is a new. field which explains the economic decisions of people. It is a field which combines behavioural and. cognitive psychological theories with conventional economics and ...
In this study, the impact of behavioural finance on investment decision-making using a selected investment banks was investigated. A total of 200 questionnaire items were administered to the respondents of the four surveyed investment banks including Afrinvest West Africa Limited, Meristem Securities, Vetiva Capital and ARM Nigeria Limited, out of which 180 questionnaire items representing 90 ...
Behavioral finance is a newly developed sub-discipline of Behavioral Economics. The main aim. of behavioral finance is to understand how people make their investment decision and how they. behave ...
Shodhganga: a reservoir of Indian theses @ INFLIBNET The Shodhganga@INFLIBNET Centre provides a platform for research students to deposit their Ph.D. theses and make it available to the entire scholarly community in open access.
This Ph.D. dissertation consists of three independent chapters in behavioral finance and corporate finance. The first chapter examines whether and how ethnicity similarity between analysts and executives affect their interactions in conference calls. The second chapter investigates firms' demand for inventor executives, executives with ...
The Shodhganga@INFLIBNET Centre provides a platform for research students to deposit their Ph.D. theses and make it available to the entire scholarly community in open access. Shodhganga@INFLIBNET. Sri Chandrasekharendra Saraswathi Viswa Mahavidyalaya. Department of Management Studies.
Behavioral finance is an area of economics that fuses with psychology. It ascribes the often irrational behavior of individuals when faced with financial choices to a variety of biases and ...
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Also in today's newsletter, the familiar name foiling Democrats' efforts to rein in big business, and falling petrol prices
Tax Report by Laura Saunders. Streetwise by James Mackintosh. ... The $13 billion that Elon Musk borrowed to buy Twitter has turned into the worst merger-finance deal for banks since the 2008-09 ...