These cookies are essential to enable the services to provide the requested feature, such as remembering you have logged in.
Confirm My Selections
Throughout the 1990s and 2000s, the United States’ HOPE VI program provided grants to tear down distressed public housing. The program aimed to provide better homes for public-housing residents and improve the neighborhoods surrounding these developments. But when Chicago Booth’s Milena Almagro and her coauthors looked into the direct and indirect effects of these demolitions in Chicago, they found that the razing of public housing also led to gentrification and increased inequality.
Video Transcript
(calm music)
The HOPE VI program was a program that was funded by the federal government and it was run by the Department of Housing and Urban Development, the HUD. And the intention of the program was to redevelop disadvantaged areas, to invest in these areas, especially through the development of mixed-income housing after the demolition of public housing.
So in this project, we are trying to think about the effect of place-based policies. Place-based policies is when governments . . . either the local government or the federal government is putting money into some areas, such as the HOPE VI program, and trying to restimulate those distressed areas. And the cost of these programs are not negligible. It is estimated that on an annual basis, the federal government and local governments spend roughly $100 billion to stimulate redevelopment in these disadvantaged areas.
The first question that we need to ask is: Who are the winners and losers of these local investments, of these place-based policies? And we still don’t have a good answer for that.
So for this project, we have three sources of data. The first one is census data. And what we’re gonna do is we’re going to look at the census tracts for the city of Chicago—for Cook County actually, which is where the city of Chicago is. And we’re gonna follow how tracts are changing from 1990 until 2010. The second source of data is the location of public-housing demolitions, the date of these demolitions, and the number of units that were demolished.
And the last data set that we are going to use is a sample of 5,000 individuals who were living in public housing and faced this demolition. Some of them were forced to be displaced somewhere else because the unit in which they were living was demolished. Some of them decided to voluntarily move somewhere else. So we are tracking where these people are living one year after these demolitions happen.
So in particular for the city of Chicago, there were roughly 40,000 public-housing units. And with the money that the CHA got from this HOPE VI program, 23,000 units were demolished. That accounts for 1 percent of the housing stock in the city of Chicago. Overall, these demolitions displaced 15,000 families that were predominantly African American, typically single mom, and their annual income was roughly $6,000 per year. And this $6,000 was not actually labor income. This was social benefits, like government assistance, things such as SNAP or other forms of social assistance.
So the first step that we take in our paper to understand what the effects are of public-housing demolition is to start looking at what’s happening to the areas that are experiencing these demolitions. These areas are becoming less African American, more white. The level of the Hispanic population seems to be constant. We see that income in these areas, the average income of the residents is going up. And we also see that rents and house values are going up in response to these demolitions.
And for the people who were living in public housing, for the households that we observed living in public housing at the beginning of the ‘90s, what we saw is that these people look very different from the rest of the population. Even when we compare them to groups that are similar in principle, such as low-income African Americans, these people are going to drastically different tracts. And what we see from our data is that they are moving into places that are poorer, are cheaper, have a higher share of African American families, and also have more presence of public housing back in 1999.
For the HOPE VI program in the city of Chicago, the program was not only focused on demolishing public-housing units. What they also wanted to do is to have some form of redevelopment in the areas with public-housing projects. Why was that? Because there was a lot of opposition from the communities of people living in public housing against these demolitions, spurred or motivated by the fact that these demolitions were going to destroy their communities. So these redevelopments were so important for these people because this was a promise that was given to them to actually preserve those communities that they were attached to.
When we go into the data and we see what’s happening to the areas that experienced demolitions, we see that 40 percent of the lots that had public housing back in 1990 and were demolished, 40 percent of them remain completely vacant. And you can actually Google and search for the name of some of these projects back in the day and you would see that there is an empty lot with grass and everything. And this was kind of surprising to us because some of the promises that were made as part of the program were never fully materialized.
What our analysis reveals is that even though public-housing demolitions were meant to target very specific areas—and just to give you some context, only 5 percent of the tracts experienced some form of public-housing demolition—we do see effects at the city level. So locally, the literature found that public-housing demolitions led to a rent increase from 9 percent to 20 percent. In our analysis, we see a price increase of 13 percent, a house price increase of 13 percent, but this aggregates up to 2.4 percent at the city level. So the city of Chicago is becoming 2.4 percent more expensive when it comes to housing prices.
Our analysis also reveals that everybody dislikes living in places that have public housing. So when you put the two things together, first you have destruction of public housing. And in principle, people are gonna be better off by this because they dislike public housing. But second, as a response to that, we also face higher housing prices.
The next question that we wanted to answer is how you put the two things together in order to measure the final welfare or the changes in well-being of the residents of the city of Chicago. And what we found is that the average resident in the city of Chicago is better off by 1 percent. So the well-being, your well-being is better, is increasing by 1 percent, but there is a huge gap. This is very unevenly distributed across demographic groups.
We see that high-income, non-Hispanic white families are gaining roughly $120 per year in terms of rental prices. So they’re willing to pay like $120 more per year to live in a city, in the city of Chicago postdemolition. But this is not the case for low-income African Americans. African Americans are losing by $75 per year. So you see a welfare gap between high-income whites and low-income African Americans of $200 per year.
Now, when we go into public-housing residents, what we see is that these people are losing a lot. This cost we estimated to be of the order of $15,000. As part of the policy, what the CHA did was to give these people rental vouchers, which is just a discount on the rent. And what we find in our analysis is that even after these discounts, these people are losing by $1,200 per year.
What we wanted to do is to start thinking about policy that could help mitigate this increase in the inequality gap that we see after demolitions. And what we find is that if you only redevelop 20 percent of the units that were demolished, you can actually make everybody better off. There’s not gonna be any loser from public-housing demolitions if this is accompanied by a redevelopment of 20 percent of those demolished units. Why is that? Because remember that I told you that prices, housing prices were going up by 2.4 percent. So you can curve that increase in prices just by the construction of more housing.
Something that is even more interesting is that if you redevelop . . . if you’re willing to redevelop 50 percent of these units that were demolished, it’s not only that everybody is gonna be better off, but actually the inequality gap completely closes off. So there’s not gonna be any disparity between high-income whites and low-income African Americans.
When policymakers think about place-based policies, they should not only think about the local effects of these place-based policies, and not only the direct effects of these place-based policies, we should also think about what economists call equilibrium effects, how housing prices are responding to these interventions and how you should create a framework to evaluate everything that is happening together, at the same time.
Why inflation still looms large for us voters.
The standard measure of the CPI doesn’t recognize important aspects of how people experience the economy.
Data suggest that women paid higher rates in many areas, with older women and minorities charged even more. These gaps appear to have shrunk over time.
Research suggests the experience of poverty can shape decision-making.
Your Privacy We want to demonstrate our commitment to your privacy. Please review Chicago Booth's privacy notice , which provides information explaining how and why we collect particular information when you visit our website.
To continue, please click the box below to let us know you're not a robot.
Please make sure your browser supports JavaScript and cookies and that you are not blocking them from loading. For more information you can review our Terms of Service and Cookie Policy .
For inquiries related to this message please contact our support team and provide the reference ID below.
IMAGES
VIDEO
COMMENTS
General principles RePEc (Research Papers in Economics) is an initiative that seeks to enhance the dissemination of research in Economics and related areas.We want to make research more accessible both for the authors and the readers. RePEc is a crowd-sourced effort: a) thousands of people and organizations contribute the underlying data, b) a core team of contributors manage the system, and c ...
Welcome to EconPapers! EconPapers provides access to RePEc, the world's largest collection of on-line Economics working papers, journal articles and software. We have: 1,211,984 Working Papers (1,023,955 downloadable) in 5,619 series 3,269,196 Journal Articles (3,198,793 downloadable) in 4,155 journals 5,372 Software Items (5,358 downloadable) in 36 series
Established in 1947, Research in Economics is one of the oldest general-interest economics journals in the world and the main one among those based in Italy. The purpose of the journal is to select original theoretical and empirical articles that will have high impact on the debate in the social …. View full aims & scope.
The Economic Journal is one of the founding journals of modern economics first published in 1891. The journal remains one of the top journals in the profession and provides a platform for high quality, innovative, and imaginative economic research, publishing papers in all fields of economics for a broad international readership. Find out more.
A Task-Based Approach to Inequality. Oxford Open Economics, 3 (Supplement_1), pp. i906-i929. Daron Acemoglu, Pascual Restrepo. July 2024. Labor Economics. Still Worth the Trip? School Busing Effects in Boston and New York. NBER Working Paper #30308. Joshua Angrist, Guthrie Gray-Lobe, Clemence M. Idoux, Parag A. Pathak.
What is IDEAS? IDEAS is the largest bibliographic database dedicated to Economics and available freely on the Internet. Based on RePEc, it indexes over 4,700,000 items of research, including over 4,300,000 that can be downloaded in full text.. RePEc is a large volunteer effort to enhance the free dissemination of research in Economics which includes bibliographic metadata from over 2,000 ...
Symposium on Inequality. Browse research from the latest Oxford Economic Papers Symposium on Inequality.Articles discuss selective schooling systems, increased income inequality in advanced economies since the 1980s, and the impact of wealth on children's exposure to environmental pollutants.
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, and business professionals ... (NBER Working Paper 32394), Amanda Y. Agan, Andrew Garin, Dmitri K. Koustas, Alexandre Mas, and Crystal Yang ...
Research Papers in Economics - RePEc. Corrections about details of this institutions should be sent to . Corrections about the member listing should be made by the members themselves by adjusting their affiliations at the by anyone with a RePEc author account. Serials from this institution can be added with the line in the series template of ...
10,700 institutions (economics departments, research institutes, and governmental organizations) bibliographic information on 237,000 working papers published by institutions and individuals ; bibliographic citations for 344,000 articles from the leading journals in the discipline ; bibliographic citations for 2,700 books and chapters
The NBER distributes more than 1,200 Working Papers each year. Papers issued more than 18 months ago are open access. More recent papers are available without charge to affiliates of subscribing academic institutions, employees of NBER Corporate Associates, government employees in the US, journalists, and residents of low-income countries.
Research Papers in Economics (RePEc) is a collaborative effort of hundreds of volunteers in many countries to enhance the dissemination of research in economics. The heart of the project is a decentralized database of working papers, preprints, journal articles, and software components. [1]
Includes major journals, articles in collective volumes (essays, proceedings, etc.), books, full-text book reviews, dissertations, and working papers. Comprehensive review of the literature in economics. Can help researchers identify major trends in the field as well as find general overviews of research in specific subject areas of economics.
While fears about slowing economic growth have roiled stock markets in recent weeks, credit markets remain stable and bullish, and a recession hasn't materialized as some analysts predicted. Robin Greenwood discusses the market conditions that are buoying the economy—and risk signals to watch. 05 Aug 2024. Research & Ideas.
More from NBER. In addition to working papers, the NBER disseminates affiliates' latest findings through a range of free periodicals — the NBER Reporter, the NBER Digest, the Bulletin on Retirement and Disability, the Bulletin on Health, and the Bulletin on Entrepreneurship — as well as online conference reports, video lectures, and ...
Microeconomics is a branch of economics that studies the behavior of individual households and firms in making decisions on the allocation of... | Explore the latest full-text research PDFs ...
Take a look at the latest research from MIT Economics faculty, including published work and newly-released working papers. Working Papers All Working Papers. Incentive-Compatible Unemployment Reinsurance for the Euro Area. Karaivanov, Alexander, Benoit Mojon, Luiz Pereira da Silva, Albert Pierres Tejada and Robert M Townsend ...
This page provides links to various rankings of research in Economics and related fields. This analysis is based on data gathered with the RePEc project, in which publishers self-index their publications and authors create online profiles from the works indexed in RePEc.Citation analysis is performed by the CitEc project, abstract views and paper downloads are counted by the LogEc project, and ...
Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy features a balance of quality research in applied economics and economic policy analysis. The intended audience is the broad range of economists working in business, government and academic communities within Australia and internationally who are interested in economic and social issues related to Australia and the Asia-Pacific region.
AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics 2009 - 2023 Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management (601 articles, 600 with downloads) ... Japan Center for Economic Research (708 articles, 671 with downloads) Asian Economics, Journal of 1990 - 2024 Elsevier (1749 articles, 1749 with downloads)
4. Amit Goyal & Ivo Welch & Athanasse Zafirov, 2021. " A Comprehensive Look at the Empirical Performance of Equity Premium Prediction II," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-85, Swiss Finance Institute. Amit Goval & Ivo Welch, 2004.
Research papers . Diao X, Ellis M ... The normative core of the paper is a proposal for a meta-regime for the global economic order that presumes relatively little agreement among countries on desirable economic policies and focuses on minimizing worst cases of adverse cross-border spillovers while building trust (and increased cooperation ...
What Is An Economics Research Paper? How Does One Write An Economics Research Paper? Summary Reminders for Next Week Theoretical Research Papers Example 1: Intermediate implications: When the price of AA guns goes up, the demand curve for AA bullets will shift leftward. When the demand curve for AA bullets shifts leftward, the
About the Journal. Working Papers Series in Theoretical and Applied Economics is a series of papers in theoretical and applied economics that represents original research on a broad array of topics in economics and finance as well as related fields from faculty and students at the Department of Economics at the University of Kansas.. Current Issue
Third, negative aggregate economic shocks generally move preferences and beliefs to the right of the political spectrum, while the effects of non-economic adverse shocks are more heterogeneous and depend on the context. ... Disclaimer: IMF Working Papers describe research in progress by the author(s) and are published to elicit comments and to ...
Economics papers dominate the top ten papers that policy documents reference most. Title. Journal. Year. The impact of trade on intra-industry reallocations and aggregate industry productivity ...
Working Papers; Filter Publications by Topic; Centers and Initiatives. Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions (SCCEI) ... Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) Web Login Address. John A. and Cynthia Fry Gunn Building 366 Galvez Street Stanford, CA 94305-6015 United States. General Information;
561 research papers in, the case for degrowth is still weak. by Kelsey Piper. Sep 12, 2024, 1:00 PM UTC. ... (Ecological Economics publishes papers on degrowth). And, to be clear, these are some ...
So the first step that we take in our paper to understand what the effects are of public-housing demolition is to start looking at what's happening to the areas that are experiencing these demolitions. These areas are becoming less African American, more white. The level of the Hispanic population seems to be constant.
Online dating may be partially to blame for an increase in income inequality in the US in recent decades, according to a research paper.. Since the emergence of dating apps that allow people to ...