research paper for 1984

1984 Research Paper Topics

This page delves into various 1984 research paper topics , providing students a comprehensive guide to aid their academic endeavors. From character analysis to thematic examinations, the narrative of 1984 presents a wealth of topics ripe for scholarly exploration. Students and researchers alike will benefit from this extensive compilation, offering insights and pathways to dissect Orwell’s magnum opus. Whether one is a novice to Orwell’s world or a seasoned critic, these 1984 research paper topics promise a thorough understanding and fresh perspectives on this timeless literary masterpiece.

100+ 1984 Research Paper Topics:

Delving into the intricate layers of George Orwell’s 1984 is an endeavor both exciting and thought-provoking. This novel, rich in themes, character development, and sociopolitical commentary, is a goldmine for students looking to craft a compelling research paper. Below is a comprehensive list of 1984 research paper topics, meticulously categorized, that shed light on various facets of this dystopian masterpiece.

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Themes and Concepts

• The role of propaganda in controlling the populace.
• The exploration of truth and reality in 1984 .
• The concept of “doublethink” and its implications for free thought.
• The societal impact of surveillance and the “Big Brother” concept.
• The dehumanization and stripping of individuality in Oceania.
• The mechanics and role of the Thought Police.
• The psychological manipulation techniques used by the Party.
• The role and symbolism of the proles in 1984 .
• The influence of war on society’s mindset and politics.
• The commentary on language’s role in shaping thought, via Newspeak.

Character Analyses

• Winston Smith: A journey from conformity to rebellion.
• Julia’s role as both a rebel and a product of the Party’s system.
• The character and function of Big Brother in the narrative.
• O’Brien’s complexity: Torturer, philosopher, and Party loyalist.
• The significance and role of Mr. Charrington in Winston’s life.
• Syme’s obsession with Newspeak and its eventual consequences.
• Parsons: The ideal Party member and the dangers of blind loyalty.
• The importance and narrative function of the prole woman.
• The symbolic nature of the characters Ampleforth and Jones.
• Winston’s relationship dynamics with his fellow workers.

Symbolism and Motifs

• The significance of Room 101 and its different representations.
• The glass paperweight: Its symbolic journey and meaning.
• The omnipresence and meaning behind the phrase “Big Brother is Watching You.”
• The “red-armed prole woman” as a beacon of hope and humanity.
• The symbolic degradation of the old rhyme “Oranges and Lemons.”
• The importance of the diary in Winston’s journey.
• The chestnut tree café and its evolution as a symbol.
• The “Golden Country” in Winston’s dreams and its contrasting reality.
• The destruction and manipulation of historical records as a recurring motif.
• The dichotomy of love and hate in 1984 .

Literary Techniques and Style

• The use of third-person limited perspective in 1984 .
• Orwell’s crafting of suspense throughout the narrative.
• The bleak and descriptive setting of Oceania and its literary significance.
• The influence of Orwell’s own political views in the narrative style of 1984 .
• Exploration of the dystopian genre through Orwell’s lens.
• The use and impact of irony in 1984 .
• The structural importance of “The Book” within the book.
• The tone and mood shifts throughout the novel and their implications.
• The role of foreshadowing in predicting Winston’s fate.
• The interplay of hope and despair in Orwell’s narrative voice.

Comparisons and Context

• 1984 vs. Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World : Differing dystopian visions.
• The influences of Orwell’s experiences in Spain on 1984 .
• Comparing the societal control mechanisms in 1984 with contemporary societies.
• Orwell’s 1984 in the context of modern surveillance states.
• Parallels between 1984 and other totalitarian regimes in history.
• The influence of 1984 on later dystopian works.
• 1984 and the concept of “fake news” in the modern era.
• The implications of 1984 in the digital age and privacy debates.
• How 1984 reflects Orwell’s views on socialism and totalitarianism.
• Orwell’s 1984 and its echoes in modern pop culture.

Theoretical Approaches

• A feminist reading of 1984 .
• Applying postcolonial theory to Orwell’s 1984 .
• The psychoanalytic aspects of 1984 : Freud and beyond.
• 1984 through the lens of Marxist literary criticism.
• Deconstructionist views on Orwell’s narrative structures.
• The role of power structures in 1984 from a Foucauldian perspective.
• Exploring 1984 through the eyes of New Historicism.
• Structuralist readings of Orwell’s dystopian narrative.
• The reader-response theory and 1984 .
• Evaluating 1984 using the tenets of Eco-criticism.

Legacy and Influence

• 1984 in contemporary pop culture: References, adaptations, and inspirations.
• The impact of 1984 on subsequent dystopian literature.
• Orwell’s vision and its influence on political discourse.
• How 1984 shaped the understanding of surveillance in popular culture.
• 1984 and its imprint on music: Songs, lyrics, and albums inspired by the novel.
• The influence of Orwell’s masterpiece on visual arts: films, paintings, and installations.
• 1984 in theater: Interpretations and adaptations on the stage.
• Teaching 1984 : Its role in modern educational curriculums.
• 1984 in the tech age: From Big Brother to Big Data.
• Legacy of 1984 in fashion and design: A dystopian aesthetic.

Sociopolitical Interpretations

• 1984 and its critique of Stalinist USSR.
• The novel’s reflection on Western democracies during the Cold War.
• Orwell’s perspective on censorship and information control.
• Analyzing the concept of “doublethink” in modern political discourse.
• 1984 and its warnings against the erosion of civil liberties.
• Exploring the novel’s take on nationalism and state propaganda.
• 1984 and its insights into behavior modification through societal pressure.
• The convergence of corporate and state surveillance: Orwell’s predictions.
• Orwell’s views on totalitarianism and the erosion of individual rights.
• 1984 and its resonance with contemporary global political climates.

Psychological Dimensions

• The psychological torment of Winston Smith: An in-depth analysis.
• Fear, control, and compliance: The mechanisms of psychological manipulation in 1984 .
• The role of memory and its manipulation in Orwell’s dystopia.
• Groupthink and collective consciousness in 1984 .
• The emotional and psychological implications of constant surveillance.
• 1984 and its exploration of existential dread and hopelessness.
• Freudian interpretations of dreams and desires in 1984 .
• Cognitive dissonance and the challenge of maintaining sanity in Orwell’s Oceania.
• The psychological significance of Winston’s relationships and affiliations.
• Mental resilience and its limits: How characters in 1984 cope with tyranny.

Philosophical Angles

• 1984 and the nature of truth: A philosophical exploration.
• The novel’s take on utilitarianism and the greater good.
• Exploring existentialism in 1984 .
• Free will, determinism, and destiny in Orwell’s universe.
• 1984 and the philosophical debate on privacy versus security.
• The novel’s exploration of love, loyalty, and human connection in a disconnected world.
• Nietzschean perspectives on power and control in 1984 .
• The Sisyphean struggle: Hope, rebellion, and inevitability in Orwell’s world.
• Analyzing the concept of reality through a Platonic lens in 1984 .
• The meaning of life, purpose, and individualism in a conformist society.

Linguistic and Semiotic Studies

• The linguistic genius behind Newspeak and its implications for thought.
• Semiotic analysis of symbols and motifs in 1984 .
• Orwell’s exploration of language as a tool of power and control.
• The rhetoric of the Party: A study in persuasive language.
• The relationship between language, thought, and reality in 1984 .
• Orwell’s warnings on the degradation and simplification of language.
• 1984 and the linguistics of propaganda.
• A semiotic analysis of “Big Brother” as a symbol.
• The power dynamics in the language of 1984 .
• The linguistic structures of rebellion and conformity in the novel.

George Orwell’s 1984 is a veritable treasure trove for literature enthusiasts and researchers. This comprehensive list is just the tip of the iceberg, aiming to provide a springboard for deeper dives into the novel’s many facets. Whether examining its iconic characters, dissecting its intricate themes, or comparing its dystopian vision with other works, the opportunities for insightful research are boundless. So, equip yourself with this guide, pick a topic, and embark on a journey into the depths of one of literature’s most iconic works.

1984 and the Range of Research Paper Topics It Offers

George Orwell’s 1984 is not just a novel—it’s a testament, a warning, and a lens through which the very fabric of society and humanity can be viewed. Published in 1949, Orwell’s chilling portrayal of a totalitarian society where even thoughts are monitored and controlled has become a staple in literary education and cultural discussions around the world. The novel’s enduring relevance and its resonance with present-day concerns about surveillance, freedom, and control mean that it remains an unparalleled topic for academic exploration. Here’s an in-depth look at 1984 research paper topics.

Historical Context and Immediate Relevance

The aftermath of World War II, the rise of totalitarian regimes, the onset of the Cold War, and Orwell’s own experiences in Spain provided a rich backdrop for 1984 . He observed firsthand the perils of extreme ideologies and the erosion of individual freedoms. The novel was a dire warning against the potential trajectory of unchecked power and a call to vigilance. This historical context itself offers a plethora of research angles—from comparisons between the Party’s tactics and those of real-world regimes to an exploration of the novel’s reception in various geopolitical climates.

Themes and Motifs: A Goldmine for Analysis

Orwell’s novel is drenched in compelling themes—totalitarianism, censorship, the nature of reality, psychological manipulation, language as a tool of control, and more. Each theme is not just a part of the novel’s fabric but is intricately woven into its very essence. For example, Newspeak, the official language of Oceania, isn’t just a linguistic tool; it’s a weapon to limit free thought and ensure the Party’s hegemony. Delving deep into these themes opens up research avenues that can intersect with philosophy, linguistics, psychology, and political science.

Characters as Mirrors of Society

The inhabitants of Oceania are not merely characters in a plot—they are symbols, representations of segments of society. Winston, with his rebellious nature, stands for the suppressed intellectual spirit. Julia represents the more tangible, bodily resistance. Meanwhile, O’Brien embodies the chilling reality of a world devoid of morals, running solely on power dynamics. By diving deep into their motivations, conflicts, and arcs, one can glean insights into the human condition under pressure and surveillance.

Contemporary Resonance: 1984 in the Digital Age

What makes 1984 a continual source of intrigue is its eerie relevance to today’s world. With discussions about data privacy, surveillance capitalism, and governmental oversight becoming more pronounced in the digital age, Orwell’s warnings seem prescient. Exploring 1984 in the context of the 21st century—an age of smartphones, AI, and big data—can yield discussions that are both enlightening and unsettling.

In Conclusion

1984 is more than a literary masterpiece—it’s a canvas upon which our deepest fears and highest hopes are painted. Whether you’re delving into its historical roots, analyzing its profound themes, dissecting its rich characters, or drawing parallels with the modern world, the novel offers an expansive field for research. It serves as a reminder of the power of literature to reflect, predict, and influence society. The range of research paper topics it offers is vast, ensuring that every academic exploration of the text is a unique journey in understanding humanity’s dance with power, freedom, and control.

How to Choose 1984 Research Paper Topics

Choosing a research topic from George Orwell’s 1984 can seem like a daunting task given the novel’s multifaceted nature and its rich tapestry of themes, characters, and socio-political contexts. The book’s continued relevance and its broad scope make it a treasure trove for researchers. However, to ensure your research stands out and resonates with your readers, it’s essential to select your topic judiciously. Here are ten tips to guide you in your quest for the perfect 1984 research topic:

• Passion and Interest: Start by identifying what intrigues you most about 1984 . Is it the oppressive nature of Big Brother? The chilling psychology of the Thought Police? Or perhaps the sociopolitical implications and its parallels with today’s world? Choosing a topic you’re passionate about will make the research process more enjoyable and engaging.
• Historical Context: Delve into the era when Orwell penned this masterpiece. Understanding the political climate of the time, Orwell’s personal experiences, and the rise of totalitarian regimes can offer a fresh perspective and a deeper understanding of the novel’s themes.
• Interdisciplinary Approaches: Don’t limit yourself to literary analysis alone. Consider combining insights from other disciplines like political science, psychology, or linguistics. For instance, you could explore the psychology behind the brainwashing techniques employed in the novel or the linguistic implications of Newspeak.
• Contemporary Relevance: Analyze the novel’s themes in the context of today’s digital era. How do concepts like surveillance, privacy, and freedom play out in our age of social media, big data, and AI?
• Character Analysis: Dive deep into the motivations, desires, and arcs of characters. For instance, a comparative study of Winston and Julia’s resistance methods or an in-depth analysis of O’Brien’s philosophical discourses can yield rich results.
• Thematic Exploration: Rather than skimming the surface of multiple themes, consider focusing in-depth on one. This allows for a nuanced and detailed examination, be it of totalitarianism, the malleability of reality, or the power dynamics inherent in language.
• Narrative Techniques: Analyze Orwell’s narrative strategies. How does his third-person limited perspective enhance the story’s atmosphere? What role does irony play? Exploring these techniques can offer a fresh lens through which to view the novel.
• Comparative Study: Compare 1984 with other dystopian works, such as Aldous Huxley’s “Brave New World” or Margaret Atwood’s “The Handmaid’s Tale”. Such a comparison can offer insights into the varying depictions and warnings of dystopian futures.
• Feedback and Peer Review: Once you’ve shortlisted a few 1984 research paper topics, discuss them with peers, professors, or mentors. Their feedback can offer new perspectives or refine your chosen direction.
• Scope and Feasibility: Finally, ensure that your chosen topic is neither too broad nor too narrow. It should be expansive enough to warrant research but specific enough to be covered comprehensively within your paper’s limitations.

Choosing a research topic for 1984 is a journey in itself, one that requires introspection, exploration, and a keen understanding of the novel’s intricate layers. The right topic not only aligns with your interests but also offers fresh insights and perspectives on Orwell’s magnum opus. So, immerse yourself in the world of Oceania, let Winston’s struggles and Big Brother’s omnipresence guide you, and embark on a research journey that’s as enlightening as it is engaging.

How to Write a 1984 Research Paper

Crafting a research paper on George Orwell’s 1984 demands a synthesis of comprehensive reading, analytical acumen, and a clear writing style. Whether you’re delving into a character’s psyche or drawing parallels between Oceania and contemporary society, your paper should be a cohesive and compelling piece of academic work. Here’s a step-by-step guide to help you navigate the process:

• Thorough Reading: Before anything else, ensure you’ve read 1984 meticulously. Note down important quotes, pivotal scenes, and significant character developments. This foundational knowledge is crucial for any in-depth analysis.
• Define Your Thesis Statement: This is the core argument or point of your paper. Whether it’s a character analysis of Winston or an exploration of Orwellian prophesies in the 21st century, your thesis should be specific and debatable.
• Extensive Research: While 1984 will be your primary source, secondary sources are vital for enriching your arguments. Dive into scholarly articles, critiques, and other related literature to understand various interpretations and gather supporting evidence.
• Construct an Outline: This step will give structure to your thoughts. Start with an introduction, followed by body paragraphs (each making a specific point related to your thesis), and conclude with a summarizing argument.
• Dive Deep into Analysis: Rather than merely summarizing the plot, focus on interpreting and analyzing. How does Orwell portray totalitarianism? What does the character of O’Brien represent in the larger scheme of things? Such questions will guide your analytical narrative.
• Incorporate Quotations Judiciously: Direct quotations from the novel can bolster your claims. However, ensure they’re relevant to your argument, and always provide context and interpretation for each quote.
• Maintain a Formal Tone and Structure: Avoid colloquialisms and ensure your paper has a logical flow, with each paragraph transitioning seamlessly into the next.
• Address Counterarguments: A well-rounded research paper considers alternative viewpoints or potential criticisms of the thesis. By addressing these counterarguments, you can fortify your own position and demonstrate a comprehensive understanding of the topic.
• Citation and Bibliography: Given the academic nature of the paper, ensure every claim or idea borrowed from an external source is properly cited. Depending on your institution’s guidelines, familiarize yourself with citation styles like APA, MLA, or Chicago.
• Proofread and Revise: Once your draft is complete, set it aside for a day or two. Revisit it with fresh eyes, looking out for grammatical errors, inconsistencies, or areas that lack clarity. Consider seeking feedback from peers or mentors to refine your paper further.

Writing a research paper on 1984 is both a challenge and an opportunity. While Orwell’s dystopian world offers a plethora of 1984 research paper topics and interpretations, the real task lies in distilling these ideas into a well-structured and compelling narrative. Remember, beyond the grades or academic acclaim, the true reward lies in the deeper understanding and appreciation of Orwell’s vision and the timeless lessons it imparts. So, arm yourself with patience, perseverance, and passion, and embark on this enlightening literary journey.

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Home — Essay Samples — Literature — Books — 1984

Essays on 1984

Hook examples for "1984" essays, the dystopian warning hook.

Open your essay by discussing George Orwell's "1984" as a prophetic warning against totalitarianism and government surveillance. Explore how the novel's themes are eerily relevant in today's world.

The Orwellian Language Hook

Delve into the concept of Newspeak in "1984" and its parallels to modern language manipulation. Discuss how the novel's portrayal of controlled language reflects real-world instances of propaganda and censorship.

Big Brother is Watching Hook

Begin with a focus on surveillance and privacy concerns. Analyze the omnipresent surveillance in the novel and draw connections to contemporary debates over surveillance technologies, data privacy, and civil liberties.

The Power of Doublethink Hook

Explore the psychological manipulation in "1984" through the concept of doublethink. Discuss how individuals in the novel are coerced into accepting contradictory beliefs, and examine instances of cognitive dissonance in society today.

The Character of Winston Smith Hook

Introduce your readers to the protagonist, Winston Smith, and his journey of rebellion against the Party. Analyze his character development and the universal theme of resistance against oppressive regimes.

Technology and Control Hook

Discuss the role of technology in "1984" and its implications for control. Explore how advancements in surveillance technology, social media, and artificial intelligence resonate with the novel's themes of control and manipulation.

The Ministry of Truth Hook

Examine the Ministry of Truth in the novel, responsible for rewriting history. Compare this to the manipulation of information and historical revisionism in contemporary politics and media.

Media Manipulation and Fake News Hook

Draw parallels between the Party's manipulation of information in "1984" and the spread of misinformation and fake news in today's media landscape. Discuss the consequences of a distorted reality.

Relevance of Thoughtcrime Hook

Explore the concept of thoughtcrime and its impact on individual freedom in the novel. Discuss how society today grapples with issues related to freedom of thought, expression, and censorship.

Major Themes of The Setting in 1984

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1984 Winston's Diary Analysis

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1984 by George Orwell: Literary Devices to Portray Government Controlling Its Citizens

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A World Without Love: The Ramifications of an Affectionless Society in 1984

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8 June 1949, George Orwell

Novel; Dystopia, Political Fiction, Social Science Fiction Novel

Winston Smith, Julia, O'Brien, Aaronson, Jones, and Rutherford, Ampleforth, Charrington, Tom Parsons, Syme, Mrs. Parsons, Katharine Smith

Since Orwell has been a democratic socialist, he has modelled his book and motives after the Stalinist Russia

Power, Repressive Behaviors, Totalitarianism, Mass Surveillance, Human Behaviors

The novel has brought up the "Orwellian" term, which stands for "Big Brother" "Thoughtcrime" and many other terms that we know well. It has been the reflection of totalitarianism

1984 represents a dystopian writing that has followed the life of Winston Smith who belongs to the "Party",which stands for the total control, which is also known as the Big Brother. It controls every aspect of people's lives. Is it ever possible to go against the system or will it take even more control. It constantly follows the fear and oppression with the surveillance being the main part of 1984. There is Party’s official O’Brien who is following the resistance movement, which represents an alternative, which is the symbol of hope.

Before George Orwell wrote his famous book, he worked for the BBC as the propagandist during World War II. The novel has been named 1980, then 1982 before finally settling on its name. Orwell fought tuberculosis while writing the novel. He died seven months after 1984 was published. Orwell almost died during the boating trip while he was writing the novel. Orwell himself has been under government surveillance. It was because of his socialist opinions. The slogan that the book uses "2 + 2 = 5" originally came from Communist Russia and stood for the five-year plan that had to be achieved during only four years. Orwell also used various Japanese propaganda when writing his novel, precisely his "Thought Police" idea.

“Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.” “But if thought corrupts language, language can also corrupt thought.” “Being in a minority, even in a minority of one, did not make you mad. There was truth and there was untruth, and if you clung to the truth even against the whole world, you were not mad.” “Confession is not betrayal. What you say or do doesn't matter; only feelings matter. If they could make me stop loving you-that would be the real betrayal.” “Power is in tearing human minds to pieces and putting them together again in new shapes of your own choosing.” "But you could not have pure love or pure lust nowadays. No emotion was pure, because everything was mixed up with fear and hatred."

The most important aspect of 1984 is Thought Police, which controls every thought. It has been featured in numerous books, plays, music pieces, poetry, and anything that has been created when one had to deal with Social Science and Politics. Another factor that represents culmination is thinking about overthrowing the system or trying to organize a resistance movement. It has numerous reflections of the post WW2 world. Although the novella is graphic and quite intense, it portrays dictatorship and is driven by fear through the lens of its characters.

This essay topic is often used when writing about “The Big Brother” or totalitarian regimes, which makes 1984 a flexible topic that can be taken as the foundation. Even if you have to write about the use of fear by the political regimes, knowing the facts about this novel will help you to provide an example.

1. Enteen, G. M. (1984). George Orwell And the Theory of Totalitarianism: A 1984 Retrospective. The Journal of General Education, 36(3), 206-215. (https://www.jstor.org/stable/27797000) 2. Hughes, I. (2021). 1984. Literary Cultures, 4(2). (https://journals.ntu.ac.uk/index.php/litc/article/view/340) 3. Patai, D. (1982). Gamesmanship and Androcentrism in Orwell's 1984. PMLA, 97(5), 856-870. (https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/pmla/article/abs/gamesmanship-and-androcentrism-in-orwells-1984/F1B026BE9D97EE0114E248AA733B189D) 4. Paden, R. (1984). Surveillance and Torture: Foucault and Orwell on the Methods of Discipline. Social Theory and Practice, 10(3), 261-271. (https://www.pdcnet.org/soctheorpract/content/soctheorpract_1984_0010_0003_0261_0272) 5. Tyner, J. A. (2004). Self and space, resistance and discipline: a Foucauldian reading of George Orwell's 1984. Social & Cultural Geography, 5(1), 129-149. (https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1464936032000137966) 6. Kellner, D. (1990). From 1984 to one-dimensional man: Critical reflections on Orwell and Marcuse. Current Perspectives in Social Theory, 10, 223-52. (https://pages.gseis.ucla.edu/faculty/kellner/essays/from1984toonedimensional.pdf) 7. Samuelson, P. (1984). Good legal writing: of Orwell and window panes. U. Pitt. L. Rev., 46, 149. (https://heinonline.org/HOL/LandingPage?handle=hein.journals/upitt46&div=13&id=&page=) 8. Fadaee, E. (2011). Translation techniques of figures of speech: A case study of George Orwell's" 1984 and Animal Farm. Journal of English and Literature, 2(8), 174-181. (https://academicjournals.org/article/article1379427897_Fadaee.pdf) 9. Patai, D. (1984, January). Orwell's despair, Burdekin's hope: Gender and power in dystopia. In Women's Studies International Forum (Vol. 7, No. 2, pp. 85-95). Pergamon. (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/0277539584900621) 10. Cole, M. B. (2022). The Desperate Radicalism of Orwell’s 1984: Power, Socialism, and Utopia in Dystopian Times. Political Research Quarterly, 10659129221083286. (https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1177/10659129221083286)

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Doublethink Is Stronger Than Orwell Imagined

What 1984 means today

No novel of the past century has had more influence than George Orwell’s 1984 . The title, the adjectival form of the author’s last name, the vocabulary of the all-powerful Party that rules the superstate Oceania with the ideology of Ingsoc— doublethink , memory hole , unperson , thoughtcrime , Newspeak , Thought Police , Room 101 , Big Brother —they’ve all entered the English language as instantly recognizable signs of a nightmare future. It’s almost impossible to talk about propaganda, surveillance, authoritarian politics, or perversions of truth without dropping a reference to 1984. Throughout the Cold War, the novel found avid underground readers behind the Iron Curtain who wondered, How did he know?

It was also assigned reading for several generations of American high-school students. I first encountered 1984 in 10th-grade English class. Orwell’s novel was paired with Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World , whose hedonistic and pharmaceutical dystopia seemed more relevant to a California teenager in the 1970s than did the bleak sadism of Oceania. I was too young and historically ignorant to understand where 1984 came from and exactly what it was warning against. Neither the book nor its author stuck with me. In my 20s, I discovered Orwell’s essays and nonfiction books and reread them so many times that my copies started to disintegrate, but I didn’t go back to 1984 . Since high school, I’d lived through another decade of the 20th century, including the calendar year of the title, and I assumed I already “knew” the book. It was too familiar to revisit.

Read: Teaching ‘1984’ in 2016

So when I recently read the novel again, I wasn’t prepared for its power. You have to clear away what you think you know, all the terminology and iconography and cultural spin-offs, to grasp the original genius and lasting greatness of 1984 . It is both a profound political essay and a shocking, heartbreaking work of art. And in the Trump era , it’s a best seller .

The Ministry of Truth: The Biography of George Orwell’s 1984 , by the British music critic Dorian Lynskey, makes a rich and compelling case for the novel as the summation of Orwell’s entire body of work and a master key to understanding the modern world. The book was published in 1949, when Orwell was dying of tuberculosis , but Lynskey dates its biographical sources back more than a decade to Orwell’s months in Spain as a volunteer on the republican side of the country’s civil war. His introduction to totalitarianism came in Barcelona, when agents of the Soviet Union created an elaborate lie to discredit Trotskyists in the Spanish government as fascist spies.

Left-wing journalists readily accepted the fabrication, useful as it was to the cause of communism. Orwell didn’t, exposing the lie with eyewitness testimony in journalism that preceded his classic book Homage to Catalonia —and that made him a heretic on the left. He was stoical about the boredom and discomforts of trench warfare—he was shot in the neck and barely escaped Spain with his life—but he took the erasure of truth hard. It threatened his sense of what makes us sane, and life worth living. “History stopped in 1936,” he later told his friend Arthur Koestler, who knew exactly what Orwell meant. After Spain, just about everything he wrote and read led to the creation of his final masterpiece. “History stopped,” Lynskey writes, “and Nineteen Eighty-Four began.”

The biographical story of 1984 —the dying man’s race against time to finish his novel in a remote cottage on the Isle of Jura , off Scotland—will be familiar to many Orwell readers. One of Lynskey’s contributions is to destroy the notion that its terrifying vision can be attributed to, and in some way disregarded as, the death wish of a tuberculosis patient. In fact, terminal illness roused in Orwell a rage to live—he got remarried on his deathbed—just as the novel’s pessimism is relieved, until its last pages, by Winston Smith’s attachment to nature, antique objects, the smell of coffee, the sound of a proletarian woman singing, and above all his lover, Julia. 1984 is crushingly grim, but its clarity and rigor are stimulants to consciousness and resistance. According to Lynskey, “Nothing in Orwell’s life and work supports a diagnosis of despair.”

Lynskey traces the literary genesis of 1984 to the utopian fictions of the optimistic 19th century—Edward Bellamy’s Looking Backward (1888); the sci-fi novels of H. G. Wells, which Orwell read as a boy—and their dystopian successors in the 20th, including the Russian Yevgeny Zamyatin’s We (1924) and Huxley’s Brave New World (1932). The most interesting pages in The Ministry of Truth are Lynskey’s account of the novel’s afterlife. The struggle to claim 1984 began immediately upon publication, with a battle over its political meaning. Conservative American reviewers concluded that Orwell’s main target wasn’t just the Soviet Union but the left generally. Orwell, fading fast, waded in with a statement explaining that the novel was not an attack on any particular government but a satire of the totalitarian tendencies in Western society and intellectuals: “The moral to be drawn from this dangerous nightmare situation is a simple one: Don’t let it happen. It depends on you .” But every work of art escapes the artist’s control—the more popular and complex, the greater the misunderstandings.

Lynskey’s account of the reach of 1984 is revelatory. The novel has inspired movies, television shows, plays, a ballet, an opera, a David Bowie album , imitations, parodies, sequels, rebuttals, Lee Harvey Oswald, the Black Panther Party, and the John Birch Society. It has acquired something of the smothering ubiquity of Big Brother himself: 1984 is watching you. With the arrival of the year 1984, the cultural appropriations rose to a deafening level. That January an ad for the Apple Macintosh was watched by 96 million people during the Super Bowl and became a marketing legend. The Mac, represented by a female athlete, hurls a sledgehammer at a giant telescreen and explodes the shouting face of a man—oppressive technology—to the astonishment of a crowd of gray zombies. The message: “You’ll see why 1984 won’t be like ‘1984.’ ”

The argument recurs every decade or so: Orwell got it wrong. Things haven’t turned out that bad. The Soviet Union is history. Technology is liberating. But Orwell never intended his novel to be a prediction, only a warning. And it’s as a warning that 1984 keeps finding new relevance. The week of Donald Trump’s inauguration, when the president’s adviser Kellyanne Conway justified his false crowd estimate by using the phrase alternative facts , the novel returned to the best-seller lists. A theatrical adaptation was rushed to Broadway. The vocabulary of Newspeak went viral. An authoritarian president who stood the term fake news on its head, who once said, “What you’re seeing and what you’re reading is not what’s happening,” has given 1984 a whole new life.

What does the novel mean for us? Not Room 101 in the Ministry of Love, where Winston is interrogated and tortured until he loses everything he holds dear. We don’t live under anything like a totalitarian system. “By definition, a country in which you are free to read Nineteen Eighty-Four is not the country described in Nineteen Eighty-Four ,” Lynskey acknowledges. Instead, we pass our days under the nonstop surveillance of a telescreen that we bought at the Apple Store, carry with us everywhere, and tell everything to, without any coercion by the state. The Ministry of Truth is Facebook, Google, and cable news. We have met Big Brother and he is us.

Trump’s election brought a rush of cautionary books with titles like On Tyranny , Fascism: A Warning , and How Fascism Works . My local bookstore set up a totalitarian-themed table and placed the new books alongside 1984 . They pointed back to the 20th century—if it happened in Germany, it could happen here—and warned readers how easily democracies collapse. They were alarm bells against complacency and fatalism—“ the politics of inevitability ,” in the words of the historian Timothy Snyder, “a sense that the future is just more of the present, that the laws of progress are known, that there are no alternatives, and therefore nothing really to be done.” The warnings were justified, but their emphasis on the mechanisms of earlier dictatorships drew attention away from the heart of the malignancy—not the state, but the individual. The crucial issue was not that Trump might abolish democracy but that Americans had put him in a position to try. Unfreedom today is voluntary. It comes from the bottom up.

We are living with a new kind of regime that didn’t exist in Orwell’s time. It combines hard nationalism—the diversion of frustration and cynicism into xenophobia and hatred—with soft distraction and confusion: a blend of Orwell and Huxley, cruelty and entertainment. The state of mind that the Party enforces through terror in 1984 , where truth becomes so unstable that it ceases to exist, we now induce in ourselves. Totalitarian propaganda unifies control over all information, until reality is what the Party says it is—the goal of Newspeak is to impoverish language so that politically incorrect thoughts are no longer possible. Today the problem is too much information from too many sources, with a resulting plague of fragmentation and division—not excessive authority but its disappearance, which leaves ordinary people to work out the facts for themselves, at the mercy of their own prejudices and delusions.

During the 2016 U.S. presidential campaign, propagandists at a Russian troll farm used social media to disseminate a meme: “ ‘The People Will Believe What the Media Tells Them They Believe.’  — George Orwell.” But Orwell never said this. The moral authority of his name was stolen and turned into a lie toward that most Orwellian end: the destruction of belief in truth. The Russians needed partners in this effort and found them by the millions, especially among America’s non-elites. In 1984 , working-class people are called “proles,” and Winston believes they’re the only hope for the future. As Lynskey points out, Orwell didn’t foresee “that the common man and woman would embrace doublethink as enthusiastically as the intellectuals and, without the need for terror or torture, would choose to believe that two plus two was whatever they wanted it to be.”

We stagger under the daily load of doublethink pouring from Trump, his enablers in the Inner Party, his mouthpieces in the Ministry of Truth, and his fanatical supporters among the proles. Spotting doublethink in ourselves is much harder. “To see what is in front of one’s nose needs a constant struggle,” Orwell wrote . In front of my nose, in the world of enlightened and progressive people where I live and work, a different sort of doublethink has become pervasive. It’s not the claim that true is fake or that two plus two makes five. Progressive doublethink—which has grown worse in reaction to the right-wing kind—creates a more insidious unreality because it operates in the name of all that is good. Its key word is justice —a word no one should want to live without. But today the demand for justice forces you to accept contradictions that are the essence of doublethink.

For example, many on the left now share an unacknowledged but common assumption that a good work of art is made of good politics and that good politics is a matter of identity. The progressive view of a book or play depends on its political stance, and its stance—even its subject matter—is scrutinized in light of the group affiliation of the artist: Personal identity plus political position equals aesthetic value. This confusion of categories guides judgments all across the worlds of media, the arts, and education, from movie reviews to grant committees. Some people who register the assumption as doublethink might be privately troubled, but they don’t say so publicly. Then self-censorship turns into self-deception, until the recognition itself disappears—a lie you accept becomes a lie you forget. In this way, intelligent people do the work of eliminating their own unorthodoxy without the Thought Police.

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Orthodoxy is also enforced by social pressure, nowhere more intensely than on Twitter, where the specter of being shamed or “canceled” produces conformity as much as the prospect of adding to your tribe of followers does. This pressure can be more powerful than a party or state, because it speaks in the name of the people and in the language of moral outrage, against which there is, in a way, no defense. Certain commissars with large followings patrol the precincts of social media and punish thought criminals, but most progressives assent without difficulty to the stifling consensus of the moment and the intolerance it breeds—not out of fear, but because they want to be counted on the side of justice.

This willing constriction of intellectual freedom will do lasting damage. It corrupts the ability to think clearly, and it undermines both culture and progress. Good art doesn’t come from wokeness, and social problems starved of debate can’t find real solutions. “Nothing is gained by teaching a parrot a new word,” Orwell wrote in 1946. “What is needed is the right to print what one believes to be true, without having to fear bullying or blackmail from any side.” Not much has changed since the 1940s. The will to power still passes through hatred on the right and virtue on the left.

1984 will always be an essential book, regardless of changes in ideologies, for its portrayal of one person struggling to hold on to what is real and valuable. “Sanity is not statistical,” Winston thinks one night as he slips off to sleep. Truth, it turns out, is the most fragile thing in the world. The central drama of politics is the one inside your skull.

This article appears in the July 2019 print edition with the headline “George Orwell’s Unheeded Warning.”

​When you buy a book using a link on this page, we receive a commission. Thank you for supporting The Atlantic.

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GEORGE ORWELL'S 1984: A POST-MODERN ROMANCE

A robust novel in terms of narrative structure, plot, themes and writing style, 1984 was chosen by TIME magazine in 2005 as one of the 100 best English language novels from 1923 to 2005. Retrospectively, TIME's November 23, 1983 issue ran the title heading 'Big Brother's Father' featured with a charcoal colour sketch of George Orwell's mugshot looking towards the ominous one eye. Early January of 2017, Orwell's 1984 shot up to the position of Amazon's best seller. It indicated a sceptical, apprehensive yet an inquisitive readership that was bowled over to discover the astounding modern-day relevance the book displayed. Declared as a 2017 must-read by the New York Times, authoritative scholarship and research regarding 1984 has been abundant.Yet, the novel continues to enthral, stimulate and puzzle. However, at the heart of the novel is a blossoming love story that is often overlooked if not side lined. Firstly, this paper analyses the features of a post-modern world in 1984 manufactured under the patronage of oligarchical capitalismthatleads to the dismantling of regular human interactions. Secondly, it dissects the protagonist, Winston Smith's loss of family and sense of belonging. Thirdly, it highlights the elements of a romance in1984.

Related Papers

Disputing the Deluge

Darko Suvin

Orwell, as he himself said, came from a lower, professional service fraction of the English and imperial ruling class that was “simultaneously dominator and dominated” (R. Williams), so that a combination of State and monopoly power became his major nightmare. His horizon was as of the Spanish Civil War in 1936 a revolutionary socialism committed to freedom and equality, opposed both to Labourite social-democracy and to Stalinist pseudo-communism. I concentrate on 1984, drawing on narratology (its agential system, spacetime descriptions, and composition -- “the Winston story,” the “Goldstein excerpts,” and the Appendix on Newspeak) and historical lessons. I conclude that 1984 has an interesting but limited “Tory anarchist” stance and horizon: being revolted against the rulers but not believing the revolt can succeed (in direct polemic with the Communist Manifesto). In Orwell‘s view there are “three kinds of people in the world, the High, the Middle and the Low,” but the mindless and passive Low reduce this to the Middle against the High, or intellect and impotence vs. cynical power. No economics entails here no class struggle and a fair amount of misogyny. Orwell‘s textural skill was penetrating, but his thematics very limited. Still, he was one of the first to notice the long-duration slide of politics toward fascism is, even if he drew a wrong consequence from it, as evident in his early conflation of Stalinism and Nazism into the untenable “totalitarianism.” 1984 remains a concerned, appealing, and in some ways useful text that lacks wisdom.

GAP Bodhi Taru: A Global Journal of Humanities

Michelle Philip

Set in a totalitarian society with complete governmental control over its citizens, including on their thoughts and actions, George Orwell's “1984,” is a dystopian novel that explores the theme of surveillance and its impact on relationships. Through the protagonist, Winston Smith, the novel portrays the dehumanizing effects of surveillance on human relationships. This research paper aims to analyse the impact of surveillance on relationships in “1984.” The paper will examine the ways in which surveillance affects different types of relationships, including romantic, familial, and friendship and will explore the ways in which surveillance shapes the behaviours and attitudes of the characters towards one another. Drawing upon a range of critical perspectives and scholarly articles to support its argument, this research will argue that the government's surveillance practices in “1984” not only destroy individual privacy but also lead to the breakdown of social relationships. By analysing Winston's failed romantic relationship with Julia, his strained relationship with his family, and his betrayal of his friend, the paper will show how surveillance destroys the trust and intimacy that is essential to healthy relationships. In conclusion, this research paper will argue that Orwell's “1984” will highlight the dangers of surveillance and its impact on human relationships. It will attempt to demonstrate how a society that values surveillance over individual privacy and autonomy creates a culture of fear and mistrust that ultimately undermines the fabric of human relationships. The paper will contribute to the ongoing conversation about the role of surveillance in contemporary society and the importance of protecting individual privacy in fostering healthy human relationships.

Keith Bateson

This paper demonstrates that, despite popular labeling of "1984" as a dystopia, George Orwell's structured the novel as a carnival.

Rainbow Journal of Literature Linguistics and Cultural Studies

Ragil Wicaksono

Sydney Studies in English, 2, 38-63

Michael Wilding

Orwell's 1984 and its rewriting of earlier utopias and anti-utopias

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Critical Insights: 1984

Erik Jaccard

This article complicates readings of George Orwell’s Nineteen Eighty-four as a dystopian novel by juxtaposing it with the conventions and ideological preoccupations of the English catastrophe novel. I argue that the presence of both narrative modes, closely linked in Britain since their emergence in the late 19th century, exposes a fundamental tension in the text between its critique of totalitarianism and its requiem for the immemorial values—and revolutionary potential—of English culture. While dystopias operate formally as expansive exercises in world-building, where the seeds of a more abstract disaster are extrapolated in the formation of nightmarish alternate worlds, narrative catastrophes function primarily as world-reductions, where the effects of global collapse narrow the narrative scope, rendering the subsequent loss of meaning and identity acute because experienced at the level of national, local, or even personal culture. I contend that there is great value in reading these two forms against one another: reading dystopia as catastrophe narrative exposes the parochial dimensions of the former’s pretensions to universality, while reading catastrophe as dystopia illuminates how the latter goes about universalizing those dimensions. Therefore, if Orwell’s Winston Smith represents a classic dystopian protagonist, mapping a loss of individuality and decency in a mechanized and authoritarian world, he also plays the part of a quintessential English catastrophe survivor, a ‘last man’ figure negotiating the loss of the English values in and through which his identity has formed. I assert that Nineteen Eighty-four ideologically conflates these two registers such that abstract concepts such as historical progress and individual freedom are made dependent on their prior grounding in an inherently individualist and democratizing English tradition of empirical reason and dissent. Thus, the novel’s real horror lies not in the death of the abstract individual under totalitarianism, but rather in the utter annihilation of the English cultural foundations from which the very possibility of individual life proceeds.

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The article offers a philosophical rereading of George Orwell's novel 1984 in the context of the Russian-Ukrainian war, in particular after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24 th , 2022. In recent decades, the dystopia of the English writer has become not only a model of literary criticism of totalitarianism but also the subject of constant falsifications and censorship for Russian propagandists. This study aims to clarify the primary philosophical content of Orwell's novel and its heuristic potency to expose the sociopolitical situation in contemporary Russia. The author of the article turns to biographical descriptions and philosophical interpretations of the novel in the works of leading Western scholars to finally draw reasonable analogies between the dystopian world of 1984 and the contemporary Russian Federation.

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ENG 112: Nineteen Eighty-Four (1984)

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George Orwell’s 1984

George Orwell’s dystopian novel 1984 finds itself at the top of the best-seller lists this week, the first of Trump’s presidency.

File under Things That Make You Go Hmm: George Orwell’s dystopian novel 1984  finds itself at the top of the best-seller lists this week, the first of Trump’s presidency.  Many readers were reminded of the book when Trump senior advisor Kellyanne Conway used the Orwellian term “ alternative facts ” in an interview recently. The 1949 book, in case you don’t remember from high school English, imagines a world of perpetual war and government surveillance, in which the government has invented a language called “newspeak” and independent thinking is called “thought crime.” 

Sure, he created the shadowy “Big Brother” leader figure who is more cult of personality than actual person. Sure, he had a message to tell about the corruption of power and the dangers of the totalitarian state. But Orwell was prescient in other ways: a paper called “Crisis? Whose Crisis? George Orwell and Liberal Guilt” points out that Orwell was fixated on what he deemed “ one of the more embarrassing moments in twentieth-century liberalism : the failure of middle-class liberals to connect with the working class.” According to scholar Rob Breton, Orwell sought to “expose the intelligentsia’s self-congratulating assumption that they were harmoniously attuned to the lower classes, the masses.” Sounds…familiar…

You can download the PDF and read the whole article here . You can also download this one, “Dynamics of Terror in Orwell’s ‘1984’,” which explores “the methods of totalitarian control envisioned in Orwell’s famous anti-utopian projection into the future of world politics.” Both free to read and think about. Because America.

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• 14 August 2024

Has your paper been used to train an AI model? Almost certainly

• Elizabeth Gibney

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You have full access to this article via your institution.

Academic publisher Wiley has sold access to its research papers to firms developing large language models. Credit: Timon Schneider/Alamy

Academic publishers are selling access to research papers to technology firms to train artificial-intelligence (AI) models. Some researchers have reacted with dismay at such deals happening without the consultation of authors. The trend is raising questions about the use of published and sometimes copyrighted work to train the exploding number of AI chatbots in development.

Experts say that, if a research paper hasn’t yet been used to train a large language model (LLM), it probably will be soon. Researchers are exploring technical ways for authors to spot if their content being used.

AI models fed AI-generated data quickly spew nonsense

Last month, it emerged that the UK academic publisher Taylor & Francis, had signed a US$10-million deal with Microsoft, allowing the US technology company to access the publisher’s data to improve its AI systems. And in June, an investor update showed that US publisher Wiley had earned $23 million from allowing an unnamed company to train generative-AI models on its content.

Anything that is available to read online — whether in an open-access repository or not — is “pretty likely” to have been fed into an LLM already, says Lucy Lu Wang, an AI researcher at the University of Washington in Seattle. “And if a paper has already been used as training data in a model, there’s no way to remove that paper after the model has been trained,” she adds.

Massive data sets

LLMs train on huge volumes of data, frequently scraped from the Internet. They derive patterns between the often billions of snippets of language in the training data, known as tokens, that allow them to generate text with uncanny fluency.

Generative-AI models rely on absorbing patterns from these swathes of data to output text, images or computer code. Academic papers are valuable for LLM builders owing to their length and “high information density”, says Stefan Baack, who analyses AI training data sets at the Mozilla Foundation, a global non-profit organization in San Francisco, California that aims to keep the Internet open for all to access.

How does ChatGPT ‘think’? Psychology and neuroscience crack open AI large language models

Training models on a large body of scientific information also give them a much better ability to reason about scientific topics, says Wang, who co-created S2ORC, a data set based on 81.1 million academic papers. The data set was originally developed for text mining — applying analytical techniques to find patterns in data — but has since been used to train LLMs.

The trend of buying high-quality data sets is growing. This year, the Financial Times has offered its content to ChatGPT developer OpenAI in a lucrative deal, as has the online forum Reddit, to Google. And given that scientific publishers probably view the alternative as their work being scraped without an agreement, “I think there will be more of these deals to come,” says Wang.

Information secrets

Some AI developers, such as the Large-scale Artificial Intelligence Network, intentionally keep their data sets open, but many firms developing generative-AI models have kept much of their training data secret, says Baack. “We have no idea what is in there,” he says. Open-source repositories such as arXiv and the scholarly database PubMed of abstracts are thought to be “very popular” sources, he says, although paywalled journal articles probably have their free-to-read abstracts scraped by big technology firms. “They are always on the hunt for that kind of stuff,” he adds.

Proving that an LLM has used any individual paper is difficult, says Yves-Alexandre de Montjoye, a computer scientist at Imperial College London. One way is to prompt the model with an unusual sentence from a text and see whether the output matches the next words in the original. If it does, that is good evidence that the paper is in the training set. But if it doesn’t, that doesn’t mean that the paper wasn’t used — not least because developers can code the LLM to filter responses to ensure they don’t match training data too closely. “It takes a lot for this to work,” he says.

Robo-writers: the rise and risks of language-generating AI

Another method to check whether data are in a training set is known as membership inference attack. This relies on the idea that a model will be more confident about its output when it is seeing something that it has seen before. De Montjoye’s team has developed a version of this, called a copyright trap, for LLMs.

To set the trap, the team generates sentences that look plausible but are nonsense, and hides them in a body of work, for example as white text on a white background or in a field that’s displayed as zero width on a webpage. If an LLM is more ‘surprised’ — a measure known as its perplexity — by an unused control sentence than it is by the one hidden in the text, “that is statistical evidence that the traps were seen before”, he says.

Copyright questions

Even if it were possible to prove that an LLM has been trained on a certain text, it is not clear what happens next. Publishers maintain that, if developers use copyrighted text in training and have not sought a licence, that counts as infringement. But a counter legal argument says that LLMs do not copy anything — they harvest information content from training data, which gets broken up, and use their learning to generate new text.

AI is complicating plagiarism. How should scientists respond?

Litigation might help to resolve this. In an ongoing US copyright case that could be precedent-setting, The New York Times is suing Microsoft and ChatGPT’s developer OpenAI in San Francisco, California. The newspaper accuses the firms of using its journalistic content to train their models without permission.

Many academics are happy to have their work included in LLM training data — especially if the models make them more accurate. “I personally don’t mind if I have a chatbot who writes in the style of me,” says Baack. But he acknowledges that his job is not threatened by LLM outputs in the way that those of other professions, such as artists and writers, are.

Individual scientific authors currently have little power if the publisher of their paper decides to sell access to their copyrighted works. For publicly available articles, there is no established means to apportion credit or know whether a text has been used.

Some researchers, including de Montjoye, are frustrated. “We want LLMs, but we still want something that is fair, and I think we’ve not invented what this looks like yet,” he says.

Nature 632 , 715-716 (2024)

doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-024-02599-9

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Deserted: The U.S. Military's Sexual Assault Crisis as a Cost of War

Over the past decade, the U.S. military has implemented policies to promote gender equality, notably lifting the ban on women in combat roles in 2013 and opening all military jobs to women by 2016. Yet, even as U.S. military policy reforms during the “War on Terror” appear to reflect greater equality, violent patterns of abuse and misogyny continued within military workplaces.

This author of this report found that sexual assault prevalence in the military is likely two to four times higher than official government estimations. Based on a comparison of available data collected by the U.S. Department of Defense to independent data, the research estimates there were 75,569 cases of sexual assault in 2021 and 73,695 cases in 2023. On average, over the course of the war in Afghanistan, 24 percent of active-duty women and 1.9 percent of active-duty men experienced sexual assault. The report highlights how experiences of gender inequality are most pronounced for women of color, who experience intersecting forms of racism and sexism and are one of the fastest-growing populations within the military. Independent data also confirm queer and trans service members’ disproportionately greater risk for sexual assault.

The report notes that during the post-9/11 wars, the prioritization of force readiness above all else allowed the problem of sexual assault to fester, papering over internal violence and gender inequalities within military institutions.

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Research: How to Build Consensus Around a New Idea

• Devon Proudfoot
• Wayne Johnson

Strategies for overcoming the disagreements that can stymie innovation.

Previous research has found that new ideas are seen as risky and are often rejected. New research suggests that this rejection can be due to people’s lack of shared criteria or reference points when evaluating a potential innovation’s value. In a new paper, the authors find that the more novel the idea, the more people differ on their perception of its value. They also found that disagreement itself can make people view ideas as risky and make them less likely to support them, regardless of how novel the idea is. To help teams get on the same page when it comes to new ideas, they suggest gathering information about evaluator’s reference points and developing criteria that can lead to more focused discussions.

Picture yourself in a meeting where a new idea has just been pitched, representing a major departure from your company’s standard practices. The presenter is confident about moving forward, but their voice is quickly overtaken by a cacophony of opinions from firm opposition to enthusiastic support. How can you make sense of the noise? What weight do you give each of these opinions? And what does this disagreement say about the idea?

• DP Devon Proudfoot is an Associate Professor of Human Resource Studies at Cornell’s ILR School. She studies topics related to diversity and creativity at work.
• Wayne Johnson is a researcher at the Utah Eccles School of Business. He focuses on evaluations and decisions about new information, including persuasion regarding creative ideas and belief change.

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Kilometer-Scale Convection Allowing Model Emulation using Generative Diffusion Modeling

Storm-scale convection-allowing models (CAMs) are an important tool for predicting the evolution of thunderstorms and mesoscale convective systems that result in damaging extreme weather. By explicitly resolving convective dynamics within the atmosphere they afford meteorologists the nuance needed to provide outlook on hazard. Deep learning models have thus far not proven skilful at km-scale atmospheric simulation, despite being competitive at coarser resolution with state-of-the-art global, medium-range weather forecasting. We present a generative diffusion model called StormCast, which emulates the high-resolution rapid refresh (HRRR) model—NOAA’s state-of-the-art 3km operational CAM. StormCast autoregressively predicts 99 state variables at km scale using a 1-hour time step, with dense vertical resolution in the atmospheric boundary layer, conditioned on 26 synoptic variables. We present evidence of successfully learnt km-scale dynamics including competitive 1-6 hour forecast skill for composite radar reflectivity alongside physically realistic convective cluster evolution, moist updrafts, and cold pool morphology. StormCast predictions maintain realistic power spectra for multiple predicted variables across multi-hour forecasts. Together, these results establish the potential for autoregressive ML to emulate CAMs – opening up new km-scale frontiers for regional ML weather prediction and future climate hazard dynamical downscaling.

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Computer Science > Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition

Title: imagen 3.

Abstract: We introduce Imagen 3, a latent diffusion model that generates high quality images from text prompts. We describe our quality and responsibility evaluations. Imagen 3 is preferred over other state-of-the-art (SOTA) models at the time of evaluation. In addition, we discuss issues around safety and representation, as well as methods we used to minimize the potential harm of our models.

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Inference for Local Projections

Òscar Jordà

Atsushi Inoue

Guido M. Kuersteiner

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2024-29 | August 19, 2024

Inference for impulse responses estimated with local projections presents interesting challenges and opportunities. Analysts typically want to assess the precision of individual estimates, explore the dynamic evolution of the response over particular regions, and generally determine whether the impulse generates a response that is any different from the null of no effect. Each of these goals requires a different approach to inference. In this article, we provide an overview of results that have appeared in the literature in the past 20 years along with some new procedures that we introduce here.

Suggested citation:

Inoue, Atsushi, Òscar Jordà, and Guido M. Kuersteiner. 2024. “Inference for Local Projections.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2024-29. https://doi.org/10.24148/wp2024-29