Understanding Valuation: A Comprehensive Guide for Beginners
- August 26, 2024
Valuation is a term that often pops up in discussions about finance, investments, and even in everyday business decisions. Yet, for those new to the concept, it can seem daunting and complex. The good news is once you break it down, understanding valuation becomes much simpler.
This guide aims to walk you through the basics of valuation, from defining what it is to explore different valuation models. Whether you're a budding investor, a student of finance, or simply curious about how businesses are valued, this guide will provide you with a solid foundation.
What Is Valuation?
Valuation is a fundamental concept in finance that plays a critical role in investment decisions, mergers and acquisitions, and even in legal cases where the value of an asset needs to be determined.
But why is valuation so important?
Valuation provides a way to measure the true value of an asset, whether it's a stock, a piece of real estate, or an entire business. This value is not always reflected in the market price, which various factors, including investor sentiment, market conditions, and speculation, can influence. Understanding valuation allows you to make more informed decisions, ensuring you're not overpaying for an asset or undervaluing one you own.
The Concept of Valuation: A Closer Look
The concept of valuation is based on the idea that every asset has a value that can be measured, even if it's not immediately obvious. This value is often referred to as "intrinsic value," which represents the actual worth of an asset based on its fundamentals, such as earnings, growth potential, and risk factors.
Intrinsic value contrasts with market value, which an asset currently trades for. The market value can fluctuate wildly due to external factors, but the intrinsic value remains relatively stable, grounded in the asset's actual performance and potential.
Understanding the concept of valuation is crucial because it helps you identify opportunities where the market may have mispriced an asset. For example, if a stock's market price is significantly lower than its intrinsic value, it may be a good investment opportunity. On the other hand, if a stock is trading well above its intrinsic value, it might be overvalued, suggesting that the price could drop in the future.
Different Approaches to Valuation
There are several approaches to valuation, each with its strengths and weaknesses. The choice of which method to use depends on the type of asset being valued, the purpose of the valuation, and the data availability.
Here are some of the most common valuation models :
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is one of the most widely used valuation methods. The discount rate used in this calculation reflects the risk associated with the asset's future cash flows. However, it can be less reliable for companies with volatile earnings or uncertain growth prospects.
Steps to perform a DCF analysis:
- Estimate future cash flows: This is typically done by looking at the company's historical performance and making projections based on expected growth rates.
- Choose a discount rate: The discount rate should reflect the riskiness of the cash flows. This is often the company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
- Calculate the present value: Discount the estimated future cash flows to their present value using the chosen discount rate.
- Sum the present values: The total present value of all future cash flows gives you the asset's intrinsic value.
Comparable Company Analysis (CCA)
Comparable Company Analysis (CCA) involves comparing the company to similar publicly traded companies. Companies with similar growth prospects and risk profiles should be valued similarly in the same industry.
Steps to perform CCA:
- Identify comparable companies: These should be in the same industry and have similar financial characteristics.
- Calculate relevant multiples: Common multiples used in CCA include the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, the Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio, and the Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) multiple.
- Apply the multiples: Apply the average multiples from the comparable companies to the company's financial metrics being valued.
- Adjust for differences: If significant differences exist between the company being valued and its comparables, adjustments should be made to account for these differences.
Precedent Transaction Analysis
Precedent Transaction Analysis involves looking at the prices paid for similar companies in past transactions. This method is used in mergers and acquisitions to estimate what a buyer might pay for a target company.
Steps to perform Precedent Transaction Analysis:
- Identify comparable transactions: Look for recent transactions in the same industry and of similar size.
- Calculate transaction multiples: Similar to CCA, calculate relevant multiples based on the transaction prices.
- Apply the multiples: Use the average multiples from past transactions to estimate the company's value being analyzed.
Valuation Models: Understanding the Numbers
Now that we've covered the different approaches to valuation let's dive deeper into the valuation models that are commonly used.
Asset-Based Valuation
Asset-based valuation is straightforward: it calculates a company's value based on its assets' value. This method is often used for companies being liquidated or where the assets are the most valuable part of the business, such as real estate companies.
Types of asset-based valuation:
- Book Value: This is the value of the company's assets minus liabilities, as recorded on the balance sheet.
- Liquidation Value: This is the amount that could be realized if the company's assets were sold off quickly, often at a discount.
Asset-based valuation is simple and easy to calculate but doesn't account for the company's future earnings potential. Therefore, it's often used in conjunction with other valuation methods.
Earnings Multiplier Model
The Earnings Multiplier Model adjusts the P/E ratio to account for growth rate and risk level differences. This model is useful for valuing companies with high growth potential, as it considers future earnings rather than current ones.
Steps to perform Earnings Multiplier Valuation:
- Calculate the P/E ratio: This is done by dividing the market price per share by the EPS.
- Adjust the multiplier: Adjust the P/E ratio based on the company's expected growth rate and risk profile.
- Apply to earnings: Multiply the adjusted P/E ratio by the company's earnings to estimate its value.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is another popular valuation method, particularly for valuing companies that pay regular dividends. It involves calculating the present value of the company's future dividends.
Steps to perform DDM:
- Estimate future dividends: Project the dividends the company is expected to pay over time.
- Choose a discount rate: This is typically the required rate of return for the investment.
- Calculate the present value: Discount the future dividends back to their present value using the chosen discount rate.
The Importance of Valuation in Investment Decisions
Understanding valuation is crucial for making informed investment decisions. When you know how to value an asset, you can better assess whether it's a good investment.
Here are a few reasons why valuation is so important:
Identifying Mispriced Assets
One of the main benefits of understanding valuation is that it helps you identify assets mispriced by the market. If an asset's intrinsic value exceeds its market price, it could be a good investment opportunity. Conversely, if an asset is trading above its intrinsic value, it might be overvalued and risky.
Making Better Buy and Sell Decisions
Valuation helps you determine the right time to buy or sell an asset. It might be a good time to buy if an asset is undervalued. If it's overvalued, selling or avoiding buying altogether might be better.
Assessing Business Performance
For business owners and managers, valuation provides a way to assess the performance of the business. By regularly valuing the business, you can track its growth over time and identify areas where improvements are needed. This can also be useful when negotiating with investors or lenders, as a higher valuation can lead to better terms.
Conclusion: Mastering the Art of Valuation
Valuation is a fundamental skill in finance that can help you make better investment decisions, assess business performance, and identify opportunities in the market. By understanding the concept of valuation and learning how to apply different valuation models, you can gain a deeper insight into the true worth of assets and companies.
While valuation is an important tool, it is also an art. It requires understanding the numbers and a good dose of judgment and experience. Markets are constantly changing, and so are the factors influencing value.
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Stock Valuation PowerPoint Presentation Templates and Google Slides
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- 2 Categories of Valuation Models
Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
Discounted cash flow model (dcf), the comparables model, are absolute or relative valuation models better.
- Why Would a Stock's Price Differ From Its Calculated Value?
Why Are Stock Valuation Models Useful?
- What's the Fastest Stock Valuation Method?
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- Valuing a Company: Business Valuation Defined With 6 Methods
- Valuation Analysis
- Financial Statements
- Balance Sheet
- Cash Flow Statement
- 6 Basic Financial Ratios
- 5 Must-Have Metrics for Value Investors
- Earnings Per Share (EPS)
- Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)
- Price-To-Book Ratio (P/B Ratio)
- Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG Ratio)
- Fundamental Analysis
- Absolute Value
- Relative Valuation
- Intrinsic Value of a Stock
- Intrinsic Value vs. Current Market Value
- Equity Valuation: The Comparables Approach
- 4 Basic Elements of Stock Value
- How to Become Your Own Stock Analyst
- Due Diligence in 10 Easy Steps
- Determining the Value of a Preferred Stock
- Qualitative Analysis
- Stock Valuation Methods CURRENT ARTICLE
- Bottom-Up Investing
- Ratio Analysis
- What Book Value Means to Investors
- Liquidation Value
- Market Capitalization
- Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- How to Use Enterprise Value to Compare Companies
- How to Analyze Corporate Profit Margins
- Return on Equity (ROE)
- Decoding DuPont Analysis
- How to Value Private Companies
- Valuing Startup Ventures
When deciding which valuation method to use to value a stock for the first time, it's easy to become overwhelmed by the number of valuation techniques available to investors. There are valuation methods that are fairly straightforward, while others are more involved and complicated.
Unfortunately, there's no one method that's best suited for every situation. Each stock is different, and each industry or sector has unique characteristics that may require multiple valuation methods . In this article, we'll explore the most common valuation methods and when to use them.
Key Takeaways
- There are several methods for valuing a company or its stock, each with its own strengths and weaknesses.
- Some models try to pin down a company's intrinsic value based on its own financial statements and projects, while others look to relative valuation against peers.
- For companies that pay dividends, a discount model like the Gordon growth model is often simple and fairly reliable — but many companies do not pay dividends.
- Often, a multiples approach may be employed to make comparative evaluations of a company's value in the market against its competitors or broader market.
- When choosing a valuation method, make sure it is appropriate for the firm you're analyzing, and if more than one is suitable use both to arrive at a better estimate.
Two Categories of Valuation Models
Valuation methods typically fall into two main categories: absolute valuation and relative valuation.
Absolute Valuation
Absolute valuation models attempt to find the intrinsic or "true" value of an investment based only on fundamentals. Looking at fundamentals simply means you would only focus on such things as dividends, cash flow, and the growth rate for a single company—and not worry about any other companies. Valuation models that fall into this category include the dividend discount model, discounted cash flow model, residual income model, and asset-based model.
Relative valuation models , in contrast, operate by comparing the company in question to other similar companies. These methods involve calculating multiples and ratios, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, and comparing them to the multiples of similar companies. For example, if the P/E of a company is lower than the P/E of a comparable company, the original company might be considered undervalued. Typically, the relative valuation model is a lot easier and quicker to calculate than the absolute valuation model, which is why many investors and analysts begin their analysis with this model.
Let's take a look at some of the more popular valuation methods available to investors, and see when it's appropriate to use each model.
The dividend discount model (DDM) is one of the most basic of the absolute valuation models. The dividend discount model calculates the "true" value of a firm based on the dividends the company pays its shareholders. The justification for using dividends to value a company is that dividends represent the actual cash flows going to the shareholder, so valuing the present value of these cash flows should give you a value for how much the shares should be worth.
The first step is to determine if the company pays a dividend.
The second step is to determine whether the dividend is stable and predictable since it's not enough for the company to just pay a dividend. The companies that pay stable and predictable dividends are typically mature blue chip companies in well-developed industries. These types of companies are often best suited for the DDM valuation model. For instance, review the dividends and earnings of company XYZ below and determine if the DDM model would be appropriate for the company:
$0.50 | $0.53 | $0.55 | $0.58 | $0.61 | $0.64 | |
$4.00 | $4.20 | $4.41 | $4.63 | $4.86 | $5.11 |
In the above example, the earnings per share (EPS) is consistently growing at an average rate of 5%, and the dividends are also growing at the same rate. The company's dividend is consistent with its earnings trend, which should make it easy to predict dividends for future periods. Also, you should check the payout ratio to make sure the ratio is consistent. In this case, the ratio is 0.125 for all six years, which makes this company an ideal candidate for the dividend discount model.
The Gordon Growth Model (GGM) is widely used to determine the intrinsic value of a stock based on a future series of dividends that grow at a constant rate. It is a popular and straightforward variant of a dividend discount mode (DDM).
What if the company doesn't pay a dividend or its dividend pattern is irregular? In this case, move on to check if the company fits the criteria to use the discounted cash flow (DCF) model . Instead of looking at dividends, the DCF model uses a firm's discounted future cash flows to value the business. The big advantage of this approach is that it can be used with a wide variety of firms that don't pay dividends, and even for companies that do pay dividends, such as company XYZ in the previous example.
The DCF model has several variations, but the most commonly used form is the Two-Stage DCF model. In this variation, the free cash flows are generally forecasted for five to 10 years, and then a terminal value is calculated to account for all the cash flows beyond the forecasted period. The first requirement for using this model is for the company to have positive and predictable free cash flows. Based on this requirement alone, you will find that many small high-growth companies and non-mature firms will be excluded due to the large capital expenditures these companies typically encounter.
For example, let's take a look at the cash flows of the following firm:
438 | 789 | 1462 | 890 | 2565 | 510 | |
785 | 995 | 1132 | 1256 | 2235 | 1546 | |
-347 | -206 | 330 | -366 | 330 | -1036 |
In this snapshot, the firm has produced an increasing positive operating cash flow , which is good. However, you can see by the large amounts of capital expenditures that the company is still investing much of its cash back into the business in order to grow. As a result, the company has negative free cash flows for four of the six years, which makes it extremely difficult or nearly impossible to predict the cash flows for the next five to 10 years.
To use the DCF model most effectively, the target company should generally have stable, positive, and predictable free cash flows. Companies that have the ideal cash flows suited for the DCF model are typically mature firms that are past the growth stages.
The last model is sort of a catch-all model that can be used if you are unable to value the company using any of the other models, or if you simply don't want to spend the time crunching the numbers. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for the stock like the previous two valuation models. Instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The rationale for this is based on the Law of One Price , which states that two similar assets should sell for similar prices. The intuitive nature of this model is one of the reasons it is so popular.
The reason why the comparables model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be used, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. Of these ratios, the P/E ratio is the most commonly used because it focuses on the earnings of the company, which is one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
When can you use the P/E multiple for a comparison? You can typically use it if the company is publicly traded since you'll need both the stock price and the earnings of the company. Secondly, the company should be generating positive earnings because a comparison using a negative P/E multiple would be meaningless. Lastly, the earnings quality should be strong. That is, earnings should not be too volatile, and the accounting practices used by management should not distort the reported earnings drastically.
These are just some of the main criteria investors should look at when choosing which ratio or multiples to use. If the P/E multiple cannot be used, choose a different ratio, such as the price-to-sales or price-to-cash flow multiples.
Neither type of model is explicitly better than the other. Each has pros and cons. Relative valuation, for example, is often quicker because it relies on comparing key stats for different companies. Absolute valuation can take longer because of the research and calculations involved, but it can offer a more detailed picture of a company's value.
Why Would a Stock's Price Differ From Its Calculated Value?
Some valuation methods, such as the discounted cash flow method, use a company's financial stats to determine its value. Any investor using the method should produce the same result. However, the market price of a stock can differ from its calculated value because investor sentiment is positive and people believe the company will increase profitability, or because of fears of future underperformance.
Investing is all about trying to earn a return from the money you've invested. When it comes to stocks, you want to buy shares at a low price and receive dividends or sell them for a higher price. Stock valuation models can help you determine whether a stock's market price is higher or lower than its true value, helping you know whether it's a good idea to buy or sell shares.
What's the Fastest Stock Valuation Method?
If you're looking to quickly determine the value of a stock, relative valuation methods are typically faster than absolute methods. You can compare the financial stats of two companies to get a sense of their values more quickly than you can do the calculations required by an absolute valuation model.
No single valuation model fits every situation, but by knowing the characteristics of the company, you can select a valuation model that best suits the situation. Additionally, investors are not limited to just using one model. Often, investors will perform several valuations to create a range of possible values or average all of the valuations into one. With stock analysis, sometimes it's not a question of the right tool for the job but rather how many tools you employ to obtain varying insights from the numbers.
The Stern School of Business, New York University. " Dividend Discount Models ."
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(Corporate Valuation) and Stock Valuation
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Stocks and Their Valuation
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IB Pitchbook – Valuation Analysis
Download our free Investment Banking Pitchbook Template
Valuation Analysis Template
The valuation component is generally the most important piece of information for a company that is seeking to pursue an M&A transaction . Both parties in a potential deal perform a thorough valuation analysis to maximize their gains from the transaction. On the acquirer’s side, investment bankers will seek to sell their recommendations by highlighting the impact on valuation following an accretive transaction and an attractive valuation of the target.
For a company looking to sell, investment bankers will seek to show the most attractive valuation possible to the selling company and list any potential buyers to win the deal. The valuation analysis component can vary greatly in length, as well as the level of detail. The following points are some of the common denominators often found in the valuation analysis section of a typical M&A pitchbook.
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Transaction rationale.
The transaction rationale is a textual summary of the merits of pursuing a transaction. For M&A, the key points to highlight are any synergies to be gained, accretion/dilution, proforma financial metrics , and any other strategic considerations. For an IPO , the summary should cover key valuation assumptions, timing considerations, key financial sponsors, and high-level rationale for going public. Regardless of the type of corporate finance transaction, preparing a concise transaction summary helps focus attention and communicate the most important considerations for pursuing your bank’s recommendation.
The Football Field Graph
The football field graph is a summary of the company’s valuation that utilizes different methodologies. This is typically an average of the company’s trading range (if public), analyst consensus (if public), comparable multiples valuation, precedent transaction valuation, and the discounted cash flow valuation. The graph will ultimately allow the senior bankers to decide which method to use to achieve the most attractive valuation to display. The ranges for each valuation method derives from the median, best- and worst-case scenarios. Once a blended average valuation is reached, it is best practice to show the valuation in both price format as well as multiple formats, using the multiples that are most appropriate to the industry. Each individual valuation method will be discussed in greater detail in this teaching series.
Analyst Consensus
Relatively speaking, equity research analysts that publish earnings estimates and target prices have the most expertise and the most extensive resources available to study the companies in their coverage universe. Therefore, it is prudent to consider these estimates with the other valuation outputs to form a holistic conclusion. Equity research reports will frequently include tear sheets of analysts’ models, and we can see further granularity in the relevant financial and operating metrics. Investment bankers will often include analyst consensus averages in the forecast periods when building financial models for their client companies.
Sell-Side vs. Buy-Side M&A Pitchbooks
A sell-side M&A pitchbook is typically constructed when a company solicits an investment bank with the intent of selling themselves, looking for potential buyers. A buy-side M&A pitchbook is the inverse scenario, where a company solicits an investment bank with the intent of purchasing another company. In the former situation, the valuation overview will display the client’s valuation, whereas the latter will display the valuations of potential acquisition targets.
In a sell-side M&A pitchbook, it is significantly more important to showcase the client’s valuation in the most attractive light possible. Intuitively, there is an implicit trade-off associated with this deal. As an investment bank, the primary objective of a winning business must be balanced with the capacity to fulfill the company’s objective of selling themselves. An overly rich valuation may win your bank the business, but the ability to materialize the transaction is constrained. An overly conservative valuation may result in the company choosing a different bank to represent them. This is the balancing act that investment bankers constantly perform.
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Common Stock Valuation
Nov 07, 2014
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6. Common Stock Valuation. Security Analysis: Be Careful Out There. Fundamental analysis is a term for studying a company’s accounting statements and other financial and economic information to estimate the economic value of a company’s stock.
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6 Common Stock Valuation
Security Analysis: Be Careful Out There • Fundamental analysis is a term for studying a company’s accounting statements and other financial and economic information to estimate the economic value of a company’s stock. • The basic idea is to identify “undervalued” stocks to buy and “overvalued” stocks to sell. • In practice however, such stocks may in fact be correctly priced for reasons not immediately apparent to the analyst.
The Dividend Discount Model • The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a method to estimate the value of a share of stock by discounting all expected future dividend payments. The basic DDM equation is: • In the DDM equation: • V(0) = the present value of all future dividends • D(t) = the dividend to be paid t years from now • k = the appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate
Example: The Dividend Discount Model • Suppose that a stock will pay three annual dividends of $200 per year, and the appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate, k, is 8%. • In this case, what is the value of the stock today?
The Dividend Discount Model: the Constant Growth Rate Model • Assume that the dividends will grow at a constant growth rate g. The dividend next period (t + 1) is: • For constant dividend growth, the DDM formula becomes:
Example: The Constant Growth Rate Model • Suppose the current dividend is $10, the dividend growth rate is 10%, there will be 20 yearly dividends, and the appropriate discount rate is 8%. • What is the value of the stock, based on the constant growth rate model?
The Dividend Discount Model:the Constant Perpetual Growth Model • Assuming that the dividends will growforever at a constant growth rate g. • For constant perpetual dividend growth, the DDM formula becomes:
Example:Constant Perpetual Growth Model • Think about the electric utility industry. • In 2009, the dividend paid by the utility company, DTE Energy Co. (DTE), was $2.12. • Using D0 =$2.12, k = 5.75%, and g = 2%, calculate an estimated value for DTE. Note: the actual mid-2009 stock price of DTE was $40.29. What are the possible explanations for the difference?
The Dividend Discount Model:Estimating the Growth Rate • The growth rate in dividends (g) can be estimated in a number of ways: • Using the company’s historical average growth rate. • Using an industry median or average growth rate. • Using the sustainable growth rate.
The Sustainable Growth Rate • Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income / Equity • Payout Ratio = Proportion of earnings paid out as dividends • Retention Ratio = Proportion of earnings retained for investment
Example: Calculating and Using the Sustainable Growth Rate • In 2009, American Electric Power (AEP) had an ROE of 10%, projected earnings per share of $2.90, and a per-share dividend of $1.64. What was AEP’s: • Retention rate? • Sustainable growth rate? • Payout ratio = $1.64 / $2.90 = .566 or 56.6% • So, retention ratio = 1 – .566 = .434 or 43.4% • Therefore, AEP’s sustainable growth rate = .10 .434 = .0434, or 4.34%
Example: Calculating and Using the Sustainable Growth Rate, Cont • What is the value of AEP stock using the perpetual growth model and a discount rate of 5.75%? • The actual late-2009 stock price of AEP was $31.83. • In this case, using the sustainable growth rate to value the stock gives a reasonably poor estimate. • What can we say about g and k in this example?
The Two-Stage Dividend Growth Model • The two-stage dividend growth model assumes that a firm will initially grow at a rate g1 for T years, and thereafter grow at a rate g2 < k during a perpetual second stage of growth. • The Two-Stage Dividend Growth Model formula is:
Using the Two-Stage Dividend Growth Model, I • Although the formula looks complicated, think of it as two parts: • Part 1 is the present value of the first T dividends (it is the same formula we used for the constant growth model). • Part 2 is the present value of all subsequent dividends. • So, suppose MissMolly.com has a current dividend of D(0) = $5, which is expected to “shrink” at the rate g1 - -10% for 5 years, but grow at the rate g2 = 4% forever. • With a discount rate of k = 10%, what is the present value of the stock?
Using the Two-Stage Dividend Growth Model, II • The total value of $46.03 is the sum of a $14.25 present value of the first five dividends, plus a $31.78 present value of all subsequent dividends.
Example: Using the DDM to Value a Firm Experiencing “Supernormal” Growth, I • Chain Reaction, Inc., has been growing at a phenomenal rate of 30% per year. • You believe that this rate will last for only three more years. • Then, you think the rate will drop to 10% per year. • Total dividends just paid were $5 million. • The required rate of return is 20%. • What is the total value of Chain Reaction, Inc.?
Example: Using the DDM to Value a Firm Experiencing “Supernormal” Growth, II • First, calculate the total dividends over the “supernormal” growth period: • Using the long run growth rate, g, the value of all the shares at Time 3 can be calculated as: V(3) = [D(3) x (1 + g)] / (k – g) V(3) = [$10.985 x 1.10] / (0.20 – 0.10) = $120.835
Example: Using the DDM to Value a Firm Experiencing “Supernormal” Growth • Therefore, to determine the present value of the firm today, we need the present value of $120.835 and the present value of the dividends paid in the first 3 years:
Discount Rates for Dividend Discount Models • The discount rate for a stock can be estimated using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). • We will discuss the CAPM in a later chapter. • However, we can estimate the discount rate for a stock using this formula: Discount rate = time value of money + risk premium = U.S. T-bill rate + (stock beta x stock market risk premium)
Observations on Dividend Discount Models, I Constant Perpetual Growth Model: • Simple to compute • Not usable for firms that do not pay dividends • Not usable when g > k • Is sensitive to the choice of g and k • k and g may be difficult to estimate accurately. • Constant perpetual growth is often an unrealistic assumption.
Observations on Dividend Discount Models, II Two-Stage Dividend Growth Model: • More realistic in that it accounts for two stages of growth • Usable when g > k in the first stage • Not usable for firms that do not pay dividends • Is sensitive to the choice of g and k • k and g may be difficult to estimate accurately.
Residual Income Model (RIM), I • We have valued only companies that pay dividends. • But, there are many companies that do not pay dividends. • What about them? • It turns out that there is an elegant way to value these companies, too. • The model is called the Residual Income Model (RIM). • Major Assumption (known as the Clean Surplus Relationship, or CSR): The change in book value per share is equal to earnings per share minus dividends.
Residual Income Model (RIM), II. • Inputs needed: • Earnings per share at time 0, EPS0 • Book value per share at time 0, B0 • Earnings growth rate, g • Discount rate, k • There are two equivalent formulas for the Residual Income Model: BTW, it turns out that the RIM is mathematically the same as the constant perpetual growth model.
Using the Residual Income Model. • National Beverage Corporation (FIZ) • It is July 1, 2005—shares are selling in the market for $7.98. • Using the RIM: • EPS0=$0.47 • DIV = 0 • B0=$4.271 • g = 0.09 • K = .103 • What can we sayabout the marketprice of FIZ?
The Growth of FIZ • Using the information from the previous slide, what growth rate results in a FIZ price of $7.98?
Price Ratio Analysis, I • Price-earnings ratio (P/E ratio) • Current stock price divided by annual earnings per share (EPS) • Earnings yield • Inverse of the P/E ratio: earnings divided by price (E/P)
Price Ratio Analysis, II • Price-cash flow ratio (P/CF ratio) • Current stock price divided by current cash flow per share • In this context, cash flow is usually taken to be net income plus depreciation. • Most analysts agree that in examining a company’s financial performance, cash flow can be more informative than net income. • Earnings and cash flows that are far from each other may be a signal of poor quality earnings.
Price Ratio Analysis, III • Price-sales ratio (P/S ratio) • Current stock price divided by annual sales per share • A high P/S ratio suggests high sales growth, while a low P/S ratio suggests sluggish sales growth. • Price-book ratio (P/B ratio) • Market value of a company’s common stock divided by its book (accounting) value of equity • A ratio bigger than 1.0 indicates that the firm is creating value for its stockholders.
Price/Earnings Analysis, Intel Corp. Intel Corp (INTC) - Earnings (P/E) Analysis 5-year average P/E ratio 37.30 Current EPS$1.16 EPS growth rate 17.5% Expected stock price = historical P/E ratio projected EPS $50.84 = 37.30 ($1.16 1.175) Mid-2005 stock price = $26.50
Price/Cash Flow Analysis, Intel Corp. Intel Corp (INTC) - Cash Flow (P/CF) Analysis 5-year average P/CF ratio 19.75 Current CFPS $1.94 CFPS growth rate 13.50% Expected stock price = historical P/CF ratio projected CFPS $43.49 = 19.75 ($1.94 1.135) Mid-2005 stock price = $26.50
Price/Sales Analysis, Intel Corp. Intel Corp (INTC) - Sales (P/S) Analysis 5-year average P/S ratio 6.77 Current SPS $5.47 SPS growth rate 10.50% Expected stock price = historical P/S ratio projected SPS $40.92 = 6.77 ($5.47 1.105) Mid-2005 stock price = $26.50
An Analysis of theMcGraw-Hill Company The next few slides contain a financial analysis of the McGraw-Hill Company, using data from the Value Line Investment Survey.
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis, I
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis, II
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis, III. • Based on the CAPM, k = 3.1% + (.80 9%) = 10.3% • Retention ratio = 1 – $.66/$2.65 = .751 • Sustainable g = .751 23% = 17.27% • Because g > k, the constant growth rate model cannot be used. (We would get a value of -$11.10 per share)
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis (Using the Residual Income Model, I) • Let’s assume that “today” is January 1, 2005, g = 7%, and k = 10.3%. • Using the Value Line Investment Survey (VL), we can fill in column two (VL) of the table below. • We use column one and our growth assumption for column three (CSR) of the table below.
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis (Using the Residual Income Model, II) • Using the CSR assumption: • Using Value Line numbers for EPS1=$2.65, B1=$11.50B0=$9.45; and using the actual change in book value instead of an estimate of the new book value, (i.e., B1-B0 is = B0 x k) Stock price at the time = $47.04.What can we say?
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis, IV Quick calculations used: P/CF = P/E EPS/CFPS P/S = P/E EPS/SPS
The McGraw-Hill Company Analysis, V
Useful Internet Sites • www.nyssa.org (the New York Society of Security Analysts) • www.aaii.com (the American Association of Individual Investors) • www.eva.com(Economic Value Added) • www.valueline.com (the home of the Value Line Investment Survey) • Websites for the companies analyzed in this chapter: • www.aep.com • www.americanexpress.com • www.pepsico.com • www.starbucks.com • www.sears.com • www.intel.com • www.disney.go.com • www.mcgraw-hill.com
Chapter Review • Security Analysis: Be Careful Out There • The Dividend Discount Model • Constant Dividend Growth Rate Model • Constant Perpetual Growth • Applications of the Constant Perpetual Growth Model • The Sustainable Growth Rate • The Two-Stage Dividend Growth Model • Discount Rates for Dividend Discount Models • Observations on Dividend Discount Models
Chapter Review, II • Residual Income Model (RIM) • Price Ratio Analysis • Price-Earnings Ratios • Price-Cash Flow Ratios • Price-Sales Ratios • Price-Book Ratios • Applications of Price Ratio Analysis • An Analysis of the McGraw-Hill Company
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Leverage our Stock Valuation PPT template to describe the method that helps determine the fair value of a company’s share to help investors with informed decision-making. Equity research analysts can use this entirely editable deck to highlight the significance of stock valuation in assisting the investors in predicting the future or potential market price to ascertain the business’s profitability and its future market value. You can also use this set to discuss how this method enables people to understand their risk and identify whether the stock is under or overvalued.
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item details (4 Editable Slides)
(4 Editable Slides)
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Use our professionally designed Stock Valuation Powerpoint template to demonstrate the method of evaluating the theoretical values of companies' stocks to help investors make well-informed decisions.
Equity research experts and stock market analysts can leverage these Powerpoint slides to illustrate the various methods or types, benefits, and different models of stock valuation. You can harness the deck to depict the differences between discounted cash flow technique and the relative valuation technique.
Sizing Charts
Size | XS | S | S | M | M | L |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EU | 32 | 34 | 36 | 38 | 40 | 42 |
UK | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
US | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 |
Bust | 79.5cm / 31" | 82cm / 32" | 84.5cm / 33" | 89.5cm / 35" | 94.5cm / 37" | 99.5cm / 39" |
Waist | 61.5cm / 24" | 64cm / 25" | 66.5cm / 26" | 71.5cm / 28" | 76.5cm / 30" | 81.5cm / 32" |
Hip | 86.5cm / 34" | 89cm / 35" | 91.5cm / 36" | 96.5cm / 38" | 101.5cm / 40" | 106.5cm / 42" |
Size | XS | S | M | L | XL | XXL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UK/US | 34 | 36 | 38 | 40 | 42 | 44 |
Neck | 37cm / 14.5" | 38cm /15" | 39.5cm / 15.5" | 41cm / 16" | 42cm / 16.5" | 43cm / 17" |
Chest | 86.5cm / 34" | 91.5cm / 36" | 96.5cm / 38" | 101.5cm / 40" | 106.5cm / 42" | 111.5cm / 44" |
Waist | 71.5cm / 28" | 76.5cm / 30" | 81.5cm / 32" | 86.5cm / 34" | 91.5cm / 36" | 96.5cm / 38" |
Seat | 90cm / 35.4" | 95cm / 37.4" | 100cm / 39.4" | 105cm / 41.3" | 110cm / 43.3" | 115cm / 45.3" |
Glunz & Jensen Holding Statistics
Total valuation.
Glunz & Jensen Holding has a market cap or net worth of DKK 131.13 million. The enterprise value is 207.13 million.
131.13M | |
Enterprise Value | 207.13M |
Important Dates
The next estimated earnings date is Tuesday, March 18, 2025.
Earnings Date | Mar 18, 2025 |
Ex-Dividend Date | n/a |
Share Statistics
Glunz & Jensen Holding has 1.82 million shares outstanding.
Shares Outstanding | 1.82M |
Shares Change (YoY) | n/a |
Shares Change (QoQ) | n/a |
Owned by Insiders (%) | 10.00% |
Owned by Institutions (%) | 20.14% |
Float | 726,645 |
Valuation Ratios
PE Ratio | n/a |
Forward PE | n/a |
PS Ratio | n/a |
PB Ratio | n/a |
P/FCF Ratio | 18.40 |
PEG Ratio | n/a |
Enterprise Valuation
The stock's EV/EBITDA ratio is 34.54, with an EV/FCF ratio of 29.06.
EV / Earnings | -533.85 |
EV / Sales | 1.54 |
EV / EBITDA | 34.54 |
EV / EBIT | 49.35 |
EV / FCF | 29.06 |
Financial Position
The company has a current ratio of 1.43, with a Debt / Equity ratio of 75.54.
Current Ratio | 1.43 |
Quick Ratio | 0.45 |
Debt / Equity | 75.54 |
Debt / EBITDA | 12.51 |
Debt / FCF | 10.83 |
Interest Coverage | 1.01 |
Financial Efficiency
Return on equity (ROE) is -0.38% and return on invested capital (ROIC) is 1.48%.
Return on Equity (ROE) | -0.38% |
Return on Assets (ROA) | 1.21% |
Return on Capital (ROIC) | 1.48% |
Revenue Per Employee | 1.18M |
Profits Per Employee | -3,404 |
114 | |
Asset Turnover | 0.60 |
Inventory Turnover | 2.19 |
Income Tax | n/a |
Effective Tax Rate | n/a |
Stock Price Statistics
The stock price has increased by +3.60% in the last 52 weeks. The beta is 0.12, so Glunz & Jensen Holding's price volatility has been lower than the market average.
Beta (5Y) | 0.12 |
52-Week Price Change | +3.60% |
50-Day Moving Average | 72.00 |
200-Day Moving Average | 70.48 |
Relative Strength Index (RSI) | 53.33 |
Average Volume (20 Days) | 53 |
Short Selling Information
Short Interest | n/a |
Short Previous Month | n/a |
Short % of Shares Out | n/a |
Short % of Float | n/a |
Short Ratio (days to cover) | n/a |
Income Statement
In the last 12 months, Glunz & Jensen Holding had revenue of DKK 134.22 million and -388,000 in losses.
134.22M | |
Gross Profit | 28.96M |
Operating Income | 4.37M |
Pretax Income | -778,000 |
Net Income | -388,000 |
EBITDA | 5.40M |
EBIT | 4.37M |
Earnings Per Share (EPS) | n/a |
Balance Sheet
The company has 1.20 million in cash and 77.20 million in debt, giving a net cash position of -76.00 million or -41.73 per share.
Cash & Cash Equivalents | 1.20M |
Total Debt | 77.20M |
Net Cash | -76.00M |
Net Cash Per Share | -41.73 |
Equity (Book Value) | 102.20M |
Book Value Per Share | n/a |
Working Capital | 18.30M |
In the last 12 months, operating cash flow was 8.48 million and capital expenditures -1.36 million, giving a free cash flow of 7.13 million.
Operating Cash Flow | 8.48M |
Capital Expenditures | -1.36M |
Free Cash Flow | 7.13M |
FCF Per Share | 3.91 |
Gross margin is 21.57%, with operating and profit margins of 3.26% and -0.29%.
Gross Margin | 21.57% |
Operating Margin | 3.26% |
Pretax Margin | -0.58% |
Profit Margin | -0.29% |
EBITDA Margin | 4.02% |
EBIT Margin | 3.26% |
FCF Margin | 5.31% |
Dividends & Yields
Glunz & Jensen Holding does not appear to pay any dividends at this time.
Dividend Per Share | n/a |
Dividend Yield | n/a |
Dividend Growth (YoY) | n/a |
Years of Dividend Growth | n/a |
Payout Ratio | n/a |
Buyback Yield | n/a |
Shareholder Yield | n/a |
Earnings Yield | n/a |
FCF Yield | 5.43% |
Stock Splits
The last stock split was on November 5, 1998. It was a forward split with a ratio of 5.
Last Split Date | Nov 5, 1998 |
Split Type | Forward |
Split Ratio | 5 |
IMAGES
COMMENTS
PowerPoint presentation slides: Introducing Stock Valuation Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides. All the 57 slides in this complete PPT deck are 100% editable. You can customize the font, text, colors, patterns, and background. Our PowerPoint slideshow supports standard and widescreen resolutions. It is also compatible with Google Slides.
Stock Valuation Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides is a tailor-made solution to create a professional presentation for valuation investors. This stock v...
34 End of Chapter 8-34. Download ppt "Stock Valuation Chapter 8". Key Concepts and Skills Understand how stock prices depend on future dividends and dividend growth Be able to compute stock prices using the dividend growth model Understand how corporate directors are elected Understand how stock markets work Understand how stock prices are ...
Download presentation. Presentation on theme: "Stock Valuation."—. Presentation transcript: 1 Stock Valuation. 2 Key Concepts and Skills. Understand how stock prices depend on future dividends and dividend growth Be able to compute stock prices using the dividend growth model Understand how corporate directors are elected Understand how stock ...
Valuation provides a way to measure the true value of an asset, whether it's a stock, a piece of real estate, or an entire business. This value is not always reflected in the market price, which various factors, including investor sentiment, market conditions, and speculation, can influence. Understanding valuation allows you to make more ...
Presenting stock market research report valuation ratio fy19 for equity research ppt powerpoint presentation model background images pdf to provide visual cues and insights. Share and navigate important information on four stages that need your due attention.
Template 13: Stock Market Showing Global Prices. Use this template to showcase the global stock exchanges ranging from the biggest NYSE to the smallest Bermuda stock exchange. With stunning and editable layout, this template will help you create great presentations without putting too much of an effort and time.
Template 7: Stock Valuation Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides . This presentation deck provides the methodology to evaluate assets in the form of stock investments. It considers the various factors that influence the worth of your venture, such as the projections, FCFF, terminal value, etc. Download this template
These methods involve calculating multiples and ratios, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, and comparing them to the multiples of similar companies. For example, if the P/E of a company is ...
9 Zero Growth If dividends are expected at regular intervals forever, then this is a perpetuity and the present value of expected future dividends can be found using the perpetuity formula P0 = D / R Suppose stock is expected to pay a $0.50 dividend every quarter and the required return is 10% with quarterly compounding. What is the price?
4 Overview There are two widely used DCF valuation models: the free cash flow valuation model for corporate valuation (then through further calculations to indirectly get stock value) and the dividend growth model (directly) for stock valuation. In this chapter we will focus on the dividend growth model, and defer the FCF method to Chapter 11.
IB Pitchbook - Valuation Analysis. Download our free Investment Banking Pitchbook Template. Written by CFI Team. Over 1.8 million professionals use CFI to learn accounting, financial analysis, modeling and more. Start with a free account to explore 20+ always-free courses and hundreds of finance templates and cheat sheets.
Stock Value = PV of Dividends: The Constant Growth Model If dividends are assumed to be growing at a constant rate forever and we know the last dividend paid, D0, then the model simplifies to: Which represents a series of fractions as follows If k>g the fractions get smaller (approach zero) as the exponents get larger If k>g growth is normal If ...
Presentation Transcript. 6 Common Stock Valuation. Security Analysis: Be Careful Out There • Fundamental analysis is a term for studying a company's accounting statements and other financial and economic information to estimate the economic value of a company's stock. • The basic idea is to identify "undervalued" stocks to buy and ...
Stocks and Their valuation.pptx - Free download as Powerpoint Presentation (.ppt / .pptx), PDF File (.pdf), Text File (.txt) or view presentation slides online. This document discusses stocks and their valuation. It will cover the legal rights of stockholders, the distinction between a stock's price and intrinsic value, and two models used to estimate intrinsic value: the discounted dividend ...
Slide Formats. 16:9. 4:3. Leverage our Stock Valuation PPT template to describe the method that helps determine the fair value of a company's share to help investors with informed decision-making. Equity research analysts can use this entirely editable deck to highlight the significance of stock valuation in assisting the investors in ...
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Download our pre-made and editable Stock Valuation PPT template to showcase the importance, different types, models, benefits, and other aspects of the stock valuation process. Related Products. Bond Valuation. $5.00. Add to Wish List Add to Compare. Employee Stock Option Plan. $5.00. Add to Wish ...
Total Valuation. Glunz & Jensen Holding has a market cap or net worth of DKK 131.13 million. The enterprise value is 207.13 million.